Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Thursday 03/12 (Anthony Edwards Highlights): Stat Projections & Picks

In the upcoming matchup against the Sacramento Kings, targeting Moussa Diabate for under 11.5 combined points and assists makes a lot of sense. The young forward has been struggling on the road, averaging a mere 4.4 points and 1.2 assists in his last five away games. Despite facing the Kings, who have their own defensive challenges, Diabate's production against them historically hasn't been impressive either, managing just 8 points on average.His recent form underscores this bet; he's hit the under in 13 of his last 16 games, including 6 out of his last 7 on the road. With expectations hovering around 7.77 for combined stats, it's clear he's not likely to reach that threshold tonight. Given the context and his current trajectory, placing your chips on the under seems like a savvy maneuver in this matchup.

Ja'Kobe Walter (Toronto Raptors) Over 6.5 Points (-130)

As the Pelicans gear up to face the Raptors, all eyes should be on Ja'Kobe Walter to exceed the modest 6.5 points mark. Walter is riding a wave of confidence, having scored an impressive 12.6 points over his last five outings. When you break down his performance on the road, he's been even more dynamic, averaging 11.2 points. Against the Raptors, Walter has shown the ability to elevate his game, dropping an average of 14 points in their previous matchups, which hints at a favorable matchup for him. With a perfect 6-for-6 hit rate in his last games and a striking 5-for-5 away from home, it's clear that he thrives on the road. The implied probability of 56.5% backs this up, making the over on 6.5 points not just a bet, but a smart investment in Walter's scoring potential. Expect him to shine in this matchup.

Keon Ellis (Sacramento Kings) Over 5.5 Points (-128)

When you look at Keon Ellis, he's become a sneaky asset for the Orlando Magic, and this matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is ripe for his scoring potential. With an average of 10.3 points against Cleveland in their last five encounters, Ellis has shown he can rise to the occasion. Even more promising is his recent home performance, where he's been lighting it up with 7.6 points on average. His overall hit rate speaks volumes; hitting the over in 15 of his last 20 games is no fluke. The Magic will likely need every point against a competitive Cavaliers squad, and with an expected stat value of 8.46, the over on 5.5 points is not just reasonable-it's a strategic play. If Ellis continues his upward trend, this should be a walk in the park for him to surpass that mark.

Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds (-125)

Brandon Ingram is primed for a standout performance against the Toronto Raptors, especially with the game being at home in New Orleans. Over his last five outings, he's averaging a solid 22.6 points and 4.8 rebounds at home. But what truly catches the eye is his historical dominance against Toronto-he's been a scoring machine, putting up an impressive 41 points in their last matchup on his home court. With an expected stat value of nearly 30 for points and rebounds combined, hitting the Over on 26.5 seems within reach. Ingram has consistently shown he can step up, boasting an 8 out of 11 hit rate at home in recent games. The Raptors will have their hands full, and with Ingram's knack for elevating his game in front of the home crowd, it's hard not to see him surpassing this mark comfortably.

Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 5.5 Rebounds (-143)

When the Pelicans host the Raptors, targeting Zion Williamson for over 5.5 rebounds feels like a no-brainer. At home, Zion has been a rebounding machine, averaging a robust 8 boards in his last five games. He's not just effective-he's practically unstoppable on his home court, hitting over this mark in every one of his last 14 home games. Against Toronto, he's also shown strong form, snatching an average of 7 rebounds in their recent matchups. With an expected stat value of nearly 6.8, it's clear the odds are in our favor. The Raptors have struggled with physical players down low, and Zion's penchant for crashing the boards is well-documented. Given his impressive hit rate and the energy of a home crowd, betting on Zion to eclipse 5.5 rebounds is not just a good bet-it's a compelling narrative of dominance waiting to unfold.