Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Thursday 03/12 (Dennis Schroder Highlights): Stat Projections & Picks

As the Charlotte Hornets prepare to face off against the Sacramento Kings, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate, especially when it comes to his assist tally. With a current average of just one assist over his last five games, Diabate's playmaking has significantly diminished, particularly on the road where he's managed only 1.2 assists per game. The Kings present a tough matchup, and historical data shows Diabate hasn't recorded a single assist against them in their previous encounters, both home and away. His overall hit rate has been impressive lately, but when we zoom in, the recent trends suggest he's more likely to stay under the 2.5 mark. With a stellar 14 out of 15 under this threshold in his last outings, it's hard not to lean toward the under. Given the expectations, betting on Diabate to finish with fewer than 2.5 assists seems like a savvy move for this matchup.

Ja'Kobe Walter (Toronto Raptors) Over 6.5 Points (-132)

When looking at Ja'Kobe Walter's recent performances, it's hard to ignore the momentum he's bringing into this matchup against the Raptors. Averaging 12.6 points over his last five games, Walter has become a scoring machine, particularly in away games where he's putting up an impressive 11.2 points. The Raptors have struggled against scorers like him, and his last five outings against Toronto have seen him net an average of 14 points-every single time. With a perfect 6-for-6 hit rate in his last games, including a streak of five straight on the road, it feels like a no-brainer to target the Over on his points prop. Given his expected stat value of nearly 10 points, it's clear he's got the potential to exceed that 6.5 mark comfortably. With the Pelicans looking to secure a critical win, expect Walter to step up and deliver when it counts.

Keyonte George (Utah Jazz) Under 25.5 Points + Assists (-118)

As the Utah Jazz gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes will be on Keyonte George, but betting on him to go under 25.5 points and assists feels like a savvy choice. At home, George's numbers have dipped, averaging just 16.8 points and 5.8 assists over his last five games. When matched up against the Knicks, he's been even quieter, contributing only 10.2 points and 3.8 assists in their recent encounters, and even less at home with averages of 5.5 points and 4.5 assists.While he's shown flashes of brilliance, a more consistent trend emerges: George has hit the under in four of his last six games overall and five out of six at home. With an expected stat value hovering around 22.88, it seems likely he'll fall short of that 25.5 benchmark against a tough Knicks defense.

Keon Ellis (Sacramento Kings) Over 5.5 Points (-139)

As we gear up for the matchup between the Orlando Magic and the Cleveland Cavaliers, Keon Ellis is an intriguing player to keep an eye on for the over 5.5 points prop. He's been quietly consistent, averaging 5.4 points in his last five games, but what stands out is his home performance where he's bumped that average to 7.6. Against the Cavaliers, he's found a groove, racking up an impressive 10.3 points in recent matchups. With a 75% hit rate in his last 20 games overall, and even better at home, Ellis is poised to deliver. The numbers suggest that not only is he likely to clear this modest line, but he's also showing an expected value of 8.46 points. Given the Cavaliers' tendency to struggle defensively, particularly against guards, it seems like a ripe opportunity for Ellis to exceed expectations tonight.

Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-128)

As the Raptors gear up to face the Pelicans, Jakob Poeltl stands poised to have a big night. In his last five games away, he's averaged 16.4 points and 7.8 rebounds, showcasing a strong ability to contribute on the road. Against the Pelicans, his numbers improve, with an impressive average of 10.6 rebounds in their previous encounters. While he's averaged 15.8 points and 6.2 rebounds overall, his recent form, hitting the over on this combined total in 4 of his last 5 away games, signals he's more than capable of exceeding the 19.5 mark. With a projected stat value around 22.61, the conditions are ripe for Poeltl to step up. As the Raptors look to secure vital road wins, expect Poeltl to play a pivotal role in their game plan. This matchup could be the perfect storm for him to shine and deliver on that over.