Today's NBA Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds (Tuesday 01/20 Slate)

The Dallas Mavericks have shown a strong performance against the Knicks in their last 5 encounters, winning 2 out of 2 games. Even though their recent away record is not impressive (1-4), the Mavericks have been able to maintain a decent scoring average of 120.8 points in their last 5 games overall, which is competitive with the Knicks' home average of 125.2. The key factor, however, is the defensive aspect. The Mavericks' opponents have scored an average of 118.2 points in the last 5 games, which is lower than the Knicks' equivalent of 119.4. This suggests that the Mavericks' defense could hold back the Knicks' scoring, making the Mavericks a good bet to cover the 10.5 point spread.

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz : Utah Jazz 16.5 (-108)

The bet on 'Utah Jazz 16.5' for the Point Spread market is a favorable one due to several reasons. Firstly, Jazz has a much stronger score on the road (116.4) than Spurs at home (124.6), indicating that they're highly competitive even in away games. Secondly, Jazz's overall score for the last 5 games (115.2) is close to that of Spurs (126.8), hinting at a close match-up. Additionally, both teams have a similar record against each other (2-2) and Spurs' overall recent performance (3-2) is not significantly better than Jazz's (1-4). Lastly, Jazz successfully held their opponents to a lower score (119.8) in away games compared to Spurs at home (130). These statistics show that Jazz can potentially outperform the point spread of 16.5 points.

Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks : Atlanta Hawks -2.5 (-110)

The bet on 'Atlanta Hawks -2.5' is driven by the Hawks' superior offensive performance in recent games, particularly at home. Over the last five games, the Hawks have averaged a higher overall team score (126.8) compared to the Bucks (116.2), which indicates a stronger offensive capability. This edge is even more pronounced in home games, where the Hawks' team score rises to 127.2. Additionally, the Hawks have defended reasonably well at home, limiting opponents to an average score of 124.6, which is slightly lower than the Bucks' average score when playing away (125.2). Given these factors, the model predicts a favourable outcome for the Hawks, justifying the bet on 'Atlanta Hawks -2.5' for the Point Spread market.

Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks : Atlanta Hawks Over 107.5 Team Total Points (-435)

The Atlanta Hawks have shown strong offensive performance in their recent games. Over the last five games, they've averaged 126.8 points overall and 127.2 points at home, significantly exceeding the line of 107.5 set for this bet. Their model prediction of 119.88 points also surpasses this mark. Despite facing the Milwaukee Bucks, who are known for their solid defense, the Hawks' recent scoring records give confidence in their ability to total more than 107.5 points in this game. Furthermore, their home records (3-2) demonstrate their ability to perform under home court advantage. Therefore, based on these stats, betting on the Hawks to score over 107.5 points seems like a strong choice.

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks : New York Knicks Under 130.5 Team Total Points (-556)

The bet on 'New York Knicks Under 130.5' is a data-driven choice based on the team's scoring performance. The New York Knicks have scored an average of 125.4 points overall in their last five games and 125.2 points in their last five home games specifically. Both averages fall under the set outcome point of 130.5. The model prediction also supports this bet, estimating the Knicks to score around 112.19 points, which is significantly lower than the bet's threshold. While the Knicks do have a positive win-loss record in their recent games (3-2), their scoring averages still do not surpass the 130.5 points mark. Therefore, statistical analysis suggests that it is highly probable that the Knicks will score under 130.5 points in the upcoming game against the Dallas Mavericks.