Sonny Gray (STL) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1429)

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Sonny Gray's recent performance indicates he's likely to allow more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game. His average hits allowed over the last five games, both overall and at home, are well above the line at 4.2 and 4.6 respectively. Furthermore, Gray's average innings pitched (IP) and outs suggest he'll be in the game long enough to allow more than 2.5 hits. His average IP is 5.8 overall and at home, while his average outs are 17.4 overall and 17.8 at home. Additionally, when facing the Reds, Gray's hits allowed average rises to 4.7. Lastly, Gray's current hit streaks, both overall and at home, are 6 and 16 games respectively, further supporting the likelihood of him allowing more than 2.5 hits.

Matt McLain (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet on Matt McLain for Batter Stolen Bases is a solid choice, largely due to McLain's recent and overall performance data. Looking at his last five games overall, McLain averages just 0.2 stolen bases, a trend that remains consistent when he's playing away games. Furthermore, when facing the Cardinals specifically, McLain's stolen base average drops to zero. His current hit streak, both overall and away, stands at just one, indicating a low probability of him getting on base to even have a chance to steal. Additionally, there have been no caught stealing instances in the last five games, implying that McLain is not even attempting steals. This consistent lack of stolen base activity from McLain makes the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

TJ Friedl (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on TJ Friedl for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a sound choice, based on his recent performance statistics. Over his last five games, Friedl's overall stolen base average is 0.4, both in general and specifically when playing away. Even more telling is his performance against the St. Louis Cardinals, where his stolen base average drops to 0.2. Additionally, Friedl's current hit streak, both overall and away, is at zero. This shows a lack of momentum that could impact his ability to get on base and attempt a steal. Furthermore, there are no recorded instances of Friedl being caught stealing in these conditions, suggesting that he chooses his steal attempts carefully and may not take the risk if the opportunity isn't clear. All of these factors make the Under 0.5 bet a statistically supported choice.

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