Ian Happ (CHC) Over 0.5 Hits (-213)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ian Happ's recent performance indicates a strong likelihood of scoring over 0.5 hits in the upcoming game. His overall hits average for the last five games is 2.2, well above the target. Even when playing away, his hits average remains robust at 1.6. Happ also boasts a current hit streak of 2 games overall and 3 games on the road, suggesting he's in good form and likely to continue his hitting streak. Although his average hits against the Cardinals is lower at 0.4, his high overall and away averages provide a solid foundation for the expectation of at least one hit. Thus, betting on Happ to score over 0.5 hits is statistically justified.

Michael Busch (CHC) Under 1.5 Hits (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Michael Busch for under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Busch's last five games against the Cardinals show a low average of just 0.8 hits per game, suggesting he struggles against this specific opposition. His performance away from home also supports this bet, with an average of 0.6 hits in his last five away games. Even when considering his overall recent performance, Busch averages only 1.2 hits per game. This, combined with his relatively low plate appearances (PA) average, indicates that he is less likely to achieve more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, are also not remarkably high. Therefore, the statistics point towards Busch not exceeding 1.5 hits in this game.

Ian Happ (CHC) Over 0.5 Hits (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Ian Happ for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. His overall average hits in the last five games is 2.2, which is significantly higher than the line of 0.5. Even when playing away, his average hits are 1.6, still comfortably above the line. Furthermore, Happ is currently on a hit streak both overall and away, with streaks of 2 and 3 games respectively, indicating a consistent performance. Although his average hits against the Cardinals are lower at 0.4, his overall and away performance data suggest he is more likely to hit over the line. Therefore, based on his recent form and consistency, betting on Ian Happ for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is statistically justified.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Under 8.5 Total Runs (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The 'Under 8.5' bet for the Total Runs in the St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs game is a calculated choice based on both teams' recent performance. The Cardinals have a lower scoring average at home (3.6 runs) and have allowed fewer runs (1.4) in their last five home games. The Cubs, while having a higher scoring average, have only averaged 5.6 runs in their recent away games. Additionally, both teams have demonstrated strong pitching performances, with the Cardinals averaging 7 strikeouts at home and the Cubs averaging 7 strikeouts away. Considering these factors, the likelihood of the total runs being under 8.5 is statistically supported. The teams' recent batting averages and home run rates further justify this prediction. The Cardinals' lower home run rate (0.8) and the Cubs' slightly reduced away home run rate (1.8) suggest a lower-scoring game.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Over 3.5 alternate_team_totals (-111)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'St. Louis Cardinals Over 3.5' in the Team Total Runs market is a good choice considering their recent scoring performance. Despite a mixed overall record, the Cardinals have been consistently scoring above the line of 3.5 with an average of 4.2 runs in their last five games. Furthermore, their batting average at home is higher (8.4) compared to their overall average (6.8), indicating a stronger offensive performance at home. On the other side, the Cubs have been allowing an average of 4.8 runs in their last five games, suggesting a potential for the Cardinals to score more. Additionally, the Cubs' higher average of pitcher walks (4.2) in their last five away games could provide more scoring opportunities for the Cardinals. Thus, based on these statistics, the Cardinals are likely to score over 3.5 runs.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Under 8 Total Runs (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Under 8' bet for the Total Runs (Alternate) market in the St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs game seems plausible due to a combination of factors. Firstly, the Cardinals have been struggling offensively, with an average of only 4.2 runs scored in their last 5 games, and even lower at home (3.6 avg). Secondly, their pitching has been effective at home, only allowing an average of 1.4 runs. On the Cubs' side, despite a stronger offensive showing, they've only averaged 5.6 runs in their last 5 away games. Their pitching has also been solid, allowing 3.4 runs on average in the same period. These factors, combined with the model prediction of 7.44 runs, suggest a lower-scoring game, making the 'Under 8' bet a reasonable choice.

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