St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Under 7 Total Runs (+189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Under 7' for the Total Runs in the St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs game is rationalized by several key statistics. The Cardinals have a lower average run score at home (3.6) and the Cubs also score less when playing away (5.6). The Cardinals have been strong defensively at home, allowing only an average of 1.4 runs. Additionally, the Cardinals' pitchers have been effective at home, with an average of 7 strikeouts, reducing the Cubs' scoring opportunities. Similarly, the Cubs have allowed fewer runs (3.4) on the road, indicating strong away defense. These factors combined suggest a lower scoring game, making the 'Under 7' bet a strong choice.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Under 7.5 Total Runs (+140)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Under 7.5' bet is a strong choice given the recent performance data of both teams. The Cardinals' recent home games have seen lower run totals, with an average of 3.6 runs scored and only 1.4 runs allowed in their last five games. This indicates a strong defensive performance at home. Additionally, the Cubs, despite their higher scoring average, have a lower average of 3.4 runs allowed in their recent away games, suggesting a good defensive performance on the road. Furthermore, the Cardinals have a lower batting average at home and the Cubs have a lower batting average on the road, which could result in fewer runs. The model prediction of 7.44 is also below the line, further supporting the 'Under 7.5' bet.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Over 2.5 alternate_team_totals (-303)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Chicago Cubs have been in excellent form recently, averaging 6.8 runs per game overall and 5.6 runs per game when playing away. Additionally, their batting average is high, with an average of 10.6 hits per game overall and 10.2 hits when playing away. The St. Louis Cardinals, on the other hand, have been struggling defensively, allowing an average of 4.4 runs per game overall. Their record against the Cubs is also poor, having lost 4 out of their last 5 games. While they have a better defensive record at home, the Cubs' strong offensive form suggests they can score over 2.5 runs. Therefore, the bet on 'Chicago Cubs Over 2.5' for the Team Total Runs (Alternate) market is a good choice.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Under 4.5 alternate_team_totals (-143)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The St. Louis Cardinals have been struggling offensively, with an average of just 4.2 runs scored in their last five games overall and a lower 3.6 average at home. Their batting average is also not impressive, with 6.8 hits overall and 8.4 at home. Furthermore, their record against the Chicago Cubs is poor, with only one win in their last five encounters. On the other hand, the Chicago Cubs have been effective in limiting runs, allowing an average of 3.4 runs in their last five away games. The Cubs' pitchers also have a decent record of limiting base on balls, with an average of 3.8 overall and 4.2 away. All these statistics indicate a lower scoring game for the Cardinals, making the 'Under 4.5' bet a sensible choice.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Over 2.5 alternate_team_totals (-303)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on the St. Louis Cardinals to score over 2.5 runs is backed by their recent offensive performance. Despite a poor overall record in their last 5 games, the Cardinals have maintained a healthy run average of 4.2 runs per game. This is significantly higher than the betting line of 2.5 runs. Moreover, when playing at home, their batting average increases to 8.4 hits per game, suggesting a stronger performance at home. Furthermore, the Chicago Cubs have been allowing an average of 4.8 runs in their last 5 games overall and 3.4 runs in their last 5 away games. This suggests the Cubs' defense may not be strong enough to keep the Cardinals below 2.5 runs. Therefore, the data suggests that betting on the Cardinals to score over 2.5 runs is a good choice.

Victor Scott II (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Victor Scott II for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is based on his recent and overall performance data. His average stolen bases both overall and at home in the last five games is just 0.2, indicating a low likelihood of stealing a base in the upcoming game. Furthermore, he has no recorded caught stealing incidents in the last five games, suggesting he's not attempting to steal bases frequently. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, is only at 1. This means he's not consistently getting on base, which further reduces his opportunities to steal. Given these stats, it's statistically probable that Victor Scott II will not steal a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a solid choice.

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