Ochai Agbaji (Brooklyn Nets) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-204)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Nets travel to Sacramento, targeting Ochai Agbaji for under 1.5 threes made feels like a shrewd move. Although he's had some success against the Kings, averaging 1.8 threes in their last five meetings, his recent away form tells a different story. In his last five away games, Agbaji has only managed 0.8 threes, which is significantly lower than his overall average. With the Kings' defense tightening up, Agbaji may find it challenging to get those open looks. Plus, his last three away games saw him hit the under each time. The odds reflect a 67.1% implied probability that he'll stay below this mark. Given these trends, it's hard to overlook the value in betting the under on Agbaji's threes made. The numbers are lining up in our favor, and this matchup could be the perfect storm for an under play.

Josh Minott (Brooklyn Nets) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When looking at Josh Minott, the under on his points plus rebounds total of 16.5 seems like the smart play, especially given his recent performance on the road. Over the last 16 away games, he's hit this mark just once, which highlights a troubling trend for him outside of familiar surroundings. It's not just a blip; his overall hit rate is a staggering 18 out of 20 attempts recently, and the expected stat value sits around 11.16, providing a solid buffer against that 16.5 threshold. The Kings' defense, particularly at home, has been exceptionally tight, forcing opponents into tough shots and limiting scoring opportunities. If Minott finds himself in a limited role against this stout defense, we could see him struggle to reach that combined number. Taking the under here feels like a calculated decision backed by compelling recent trends and match-up dynamics.

Josh Minott (Brooklyn Nets) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-145)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Brooklyn Nets gear up to face the Sacramento Kings, all eyes should be on Josh Minott and his rebounding game. With the line set at 4.5, there's compelling reason to lean towards the under. Minott's recent form shows he's been a true outlier on the boards, recording under 4.5 rebounds in 19 of his last 20 games. Even more impressive, he hasn't surpassed this mark in any of his last 16 away games-an incredible 100% hit rate for the under. The Kings are known for their pace, which can sometimes inflate rebound opportunities, but Minott seems to struggle to capitalize on this when playing on the road. With an expected stat value of just 2.85, this matchup suggests that Minott's rebounding will likely fall short again. The trends are clear-betting the under here feels not just safe, but smart.

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