Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 2.5 Assists (-182)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When looking at the matchup between the Portland Trail Blazers and Utah Jazz, targeting Cody Williams for under 2.5 assists feels like a savvy play. While he's shown flashes of creativity, the numbers reveal a pattern that's hard to ignore. Over his last five games, Williams has averaged just one assist overall, and even when you narrow it down to away games, that drops to a mere 0.4. Against the Jazz, he's averaged only one assist in away matchups, suggesting he struggles to facilitate when not on home turf. Plus, he's maintained a perfect record of hitting the under in his last eight away games, which adds a layer of confidence to this bet. With an expected stat value of just 1.18, it's clear that the odds are stacked against him reaching that 2.5 mark. In this instance, less is definitely more.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz : Portland Trail Blazers Over 115.5 Team Total Points (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Portland Trail Blazers have been lighting up the scoreboard recently, and there's no reason to believe that trend won't continue when they host the Utah Jazz. The model predicts the Blazers to rack up a hefty 118.48 points, comfortably clearing the Over 115.5 threshold. Portland's potent offense, led by their superstar backcourt duo, has been consistently delivering high-scoring performances, a stat that bolsters this bet. On the other hand, the Jazz, despite their solid reputation on the defensive end, have struggled to contain high-octane offenses. The implied probability of 85.5% and a model edge of 1.4% adds further weight to our confidence in the Trail Blazers surpassing 115.5 points. An Over bet here just seems like a slam dunk.

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