Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Mitch Keller (PIT) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-2500)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Mitch Keller for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is backed by his recent performance data. Keller's last five games show an average of 5.6 hits allowed overall and 5.8 hits at home, both well over the line of 2.5. Additionally, his average hits allowed against the Brewers is even higher at 6.8. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest that he often stays in the game long enough to allow more than 2.5 hits. Furthermore, Keller is on a 14-game overall and 6-game home hit streak, suggesting a consistent pattern of allowing hits. Therefore, based on these statistics, it is statistically likely that Keller will allow over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Brewers.
Mitch Keller (PIT) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Mitch Keller's performance data strongly supports the Over 2.5 strikeouts bet. His last five overall and home games show an average of 4 and 4.4 strikeouts respectively, both significantly above the set line. Furthermore, when facing the Brewers in the past, his strikeout average increases to 6.4, indicating a strong performance against this particular opponent. His overall current hit streak is at 6, showing consistent performance. Although his home hit streak is only at 1, his overall and home innings pitched averages of 5.5 and 5.3 respectively suggest he'll have ample opportunity to reach the strikeout target. This, combined with his high implied probability of 85.5%, indicates a high likelihood of achieving more than 2.5 strikeouts, making this bet a statistically sound choice.
Mitch Keller (PIT) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-417)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Mitch Keller's recent performance data supports the bet for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. Over his last five games, Keller has averaged 2 walks per game overall, 2.2 walks at home, and 2 walks against the Brewers. His innings pitched and outs average also suggest he is likely to walk at least one batter. Keller averages 5.5 innings pitched overall, 5.3 at home, and 5.2 against the Brewers, with a corresponding outs average of 16.8 overall, 16.2 at home, and 15.6 against the Brewers. These numbers imply that Keller is usually on the mound long enough to allow a walk. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, 8 overall and 2 at home, indicate a tendency to allow hits, which can correlate with a higher likelihood of walks. Therefore, the data suggests a strong likelihood that Keller will allow over 0.5 walks in the game.
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