Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs : Over 0.5 alternate_team_totals (-5000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Chicago Cubs Over 0.5' for the Team Total Runs is a strong choice considering the Cubs' recent offensive performance and the Phillies' defensive struggles. The Cubs have been consistently scoring above the line, with an average of 6.8 runs in their last five games overall and 5.6 runs in their last five away games. Furthermore, they have been hitting well with an average of 10.6 hits overall and 10.2 hits away. On the other side, the Phillies have been allowing an average of 5.8 runs in their last five games and 6.8 runs in their last five home games. This indicates a defensive weakness that the Cubs' strong offense is likely to exploit. Additionally, the Phillies' average pitcher walk rate further increases the Cubs' scoring opportunities. Therefore, based on these statistics, the Cubs are expected to score at least one run.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs : Over 5.5 Total Runs (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Over 5.5' bet is a strong choice due to the high average runs scored by both teams in their recent games. The Phillies have averaged 5.6 runs overall in their last five games, and 6.6 runs in their last five home games. The Cubs have been even more prolific, averaging 6.8 runs overall and 5.6 runs in their last five away games. Additionally, both teams have demonstrated strong batting performance, with the Phillies averaging 10.2 hits and the Cubs 10.6 hits in their last five games. Furthermore, the Phillies have allowed an average of 5.8 runs in their last five games, with this figure increasing to 6.8 for their home games. This suggests that the Cubs, already a high-scoring team, have a good chance of scoring a significant number of runs. These factors make the 'Over 5.5' bet a compelling choice.

Bryson Stott (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Bryson Stott's statistics suggest a strong rationale for betting Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market. Over the last five games, Stott's overall stolen base average is 0.4, which is less than the line of 0.5. His stolen base average is even lower when playing against the Cubs, averaging at 0.2. Stott's home performance also supports the Under bet, with a stolen base average of 0.6. Despite a current hit streak, his stolen base averages remain below the line, indicating that his hits do not typically translate into stolen bases. Furthermore, there are no caught stealing instances in the last five games to suggest a change in his base-stealing strategy. Thus, the data points towards Stott being unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game.

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