Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on 'Chicago Cubs Over 0.5' for the Team Total Runs is a promising choice based on the Cubs' recent performance and the Phillies' defensive record. The Cubs have been consistently scoring high, with an average of 6.8 runs in their last five games overall and 5.6 runs in their last five away games. This is complemented by their strong batting average of 10.6 hits overall and 10.2 hits in away games. On the other hand, the Phillies have been struggling defensively, allowing an average of 5.8 runs overall in their last five games and a higher 6.8 runs in their home games. This suggests a higher likelihood of the Cubs scoring at least one run in the game, making the 'Over 0.5' bet a statistically sound choice.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs : Over 4.5 Total Runs (-625)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Philadelphia Phillies and Chicago Cubs have been consistently scoring high in their recent games. The Phillies have averaged 5.6 runs in their last 5 games, while the Cubs have averaged even higher at 6.8 runs. Additionally, when playing at home, the Phillies' run average increases to 6.6. Both teams also have high batting averages, with the Phillies at 10.2 hits and the Cubs at 10.6. The Cubs' average of 2.2 home runs per game further enhances the scoring potential. On the defensive side, both teams have been allowing a substantial amount of runs, with the Phillies conceding an average of 5.8 runs and the Cubs 4.8. Given these high-scoring and high-conceding trends, betting 'Over 4.5' for the Total Runs market in the Phillies vs Cubs game is statistically justified.
Matthew Boyd (CHC) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-417)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Matthew Boyd has a strong propensity to allow walks, especially when playing away games. Over the last five games, his average walks allowed is 2.4, but this figure increases to 2.6 when he is playing away. This trend is reinforced by his current hit streaks, with a seven-game overall streak and a five-game away streak. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) and outs average are lower when playing away, indicating he struggles to maintain control in away games. This could lead to more opportunities for walks. Given these consistent patterns, betting on Boyd to allow over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Phillies is statistically justified.
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