Jrue Holiday (Boston Celtics) Under 14.5 Rebounds + Assists (-909)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the showdown between the Philadelphia 76ers and the Portland Trail Blazers, targeting Jrue Holiday for under 14.5 combined rebounds and assists seems like a savvy play. Over his last five games, Holiday has averaged just 4 rebounds and 3.6 assists, a stark reminder that he's been operating well below that threshold. His recent form against the Blazers shows a similar trend, where he's only managed 5.6 rebounds and 4 assists on average. What's more compelling is his overall consistency; he's hit the under in all 14 of his last games, and in the last six home affairs, he's gone under every time. With Portland's defense limiting opposing guards and his current form, it's hard to imagine him surpassing that 14.5 mark. Betting on the under here feels not just prudent, but almost inevitable given the numbers.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Portland Trail Blazers : Philadelphia 76ers Under 121.5 Team Total Points (-769)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Given the Philadelphia 76ers impressive home court advantage, one might be tempted to back them to light up the scoreboard. However, a deeper dive into the numbers suggests a more prudent play might be to wager on them scoring under 121.5 points. Our model predicts a total of around 119.71 points, not far, but still below the line. This is a reflection of recent performances where their point production has been slightly off its peak. Plus, the Trail Blazers have stepped up their defensive game recently, making it tougher for even the most potent offenses to rack up extravagant point totals. Therefore, despite the 76ers' offensive prowess, the combination of a minor scoring slump and a resurgent Trail Blazers' defense makes the under 121.5 points a compelling bet.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Portland Trail Blazers : Portland Trail Blazers win (-357)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Here's why the Portland Trail Blazers are a solid bet for the Moneyline market in their game against the Philadelphia 76ers. The Trail Blazers have been playing some of their best basketball recently, and the numbers certainly back it up. Their model prediction of 0.88 is a promising figure, and an implied probability of 78.1% suggests a high likelihood of coming out on top. The model edge of 1.5% provides that additional statistical advantage that makes this bet appealing. Despite playing away from home, the Blazers often rise to the occasion against tough opponents. The 76ers might be a formidable adversary, but considering Portland's current form and the statistical backing, this bet is more than justified. Let's not forget, the numbers don't lie, so it's time to put your faith in the Trail Blazers.

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