Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks) Over 3.5 Rebounds (-2500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data strongly supports a bet on Onyeka Okongwu to achieve over 3.5 rebounds in the upcoming game against the Philadelphia 76ers. Okongwu's recent performance indicates a high probability of him exceeding this benchmark. His average overall rebounds for the last five games is 9.8, while his average away rebounds stand even higher at 10. In games specifically against the 76ers, Okongwu's rebound average is 8, and 6.5 when playing away. These averages are well above the proposed outcome point of 3.5. Additionally, Okongwu's record shows consistency, with a hit rate of 20 out of 20 for both overall and away games. This consistent performance, coupled with his past game averages, suggests a high likelihood of Okongwu achieving more than 3.5 rebounds in the upcoming game.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks : Atlanta Hawks 4.5 (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The betting on 'Atlanta Hawks 4.5' for the Point Spread market is a smart move considering the recent performance. The Hawks have shown a stronger scoring performance than the 76ers, averaging 126.8 points over their last 5 games compared to the 76ers' 115.6. Additionally, when playing away, the Hawks have outscored the 76ers, averaging 117.2 points to the 76ers' home score of 108.4. Despite the 76ers' slightly better record against the Hawks in their last 5 encounters, the Hawks' higher scoring potential, especially when playing away, gives them a strong chance to cover the 4.5 point spread. The Hawks' model prediction of -7.69 and model edge of 30.5% further solidify this bet.

Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 1.5 Blocks (-244)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Joel Embiid for Under 1.5 blocks in the Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks game is backed by several key statistics. Embiid's average overall blocks in the last five games is only 1, and it's even lower at home, at 0.4. This indicates a consistent trend of Embiid not meeting the 1.5 block mark, especially when playing at home. Furthermore, his expected stat value is only at 0.8, significantly less than the outcome point of 1.5. Although his average blocks against the Hawks at home is 2.7, his current form suggests it's unlikely he'll maintain this average. Therefore, the under bet is statistically favorable, reflecting his recent performance rather than past performances against this specific team. The 100% hit rate for under 1.5 blocks in the last four overall games and last five home games reinforces this prediction.

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