Keon Ellis (Sacramento Kings) Over 5.5 Points (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Orlando Magic prepare to face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers, Keon Ellis emerges as a compelling play for an over 5.5 points bet. Despite averaging just a touch below that mark at 5.4 points in his last five outings, he's shown a sharp upward trend when playing at home, where he's netting about 7.6 points. What's particularly striking is his performance against the Cavaliers; he's averaged 10.3 points in their last five meetings, suggesting he thrives in this matchup. With a remarkable hit rate of 15 out of his last 20 games, Ellis has consistently delivered when it counts, especially in front of the home crowd. Given the Cavaliers' tendency to allow around 9.5 points to similar players, it seems likely that Ellis will exceed the 5.5 mark, making this a smart play as he looks to capitalize on favorable conditions.

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