Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 4.5 Assists (-161)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes will be on Trey Murphy III, but betting on him to go over 4.5 assists might not be the wisest move. Despite the Pelicans playing at home, Murphy has averaged just 2 assists in his last five games overall, and even lower at 1.4 assists in his recent home outings. His overall hit rate suggests he's been solid at staying under this mark, hitting it 7 out of 7 times lately. Against the Mavericks specifically, his average dips to around 2.8 assists at home. With an expected stat value of just 3.1, it's hard to imagine Murphy finding those extra assists against a Dallas team that plays strong perimeter defense. Given these trends, betting the under on Murphy's assists feels like a savvy choice.

Max Christie (Dallas Mavericks) Under 12.5 Points (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Dallas Mavericks gear up to face the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes will be on Max Christie. However, betting on him to score over 12.5 points seems risky. Recent trends reveal Christie averaging a modest 6.6 points on the road, and against the Mavericks, he's managed just 2.2 points away in their last matchup. His overall scoring has dipped too, with just 7.2 points in his last five outings. While he hit the over in four of those games, his consistency fades when playing away, hitting the under in all three recent road games. With an expected stat value of just 9.81, it appears the odds are stacked against him. Given these numbers, wagering on Christie to stay under 12.5 points feels like a savvy play as he navigates a formidable Mavericks defense. Don't count on him to shine bright in this matchup.

Max Christie (Dallas Mavericks) Over 2.5 Rebounds (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Max Christie is primed for a standout performance in his matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans. With a recent average of 3.8 rebounds over his last five games, Christie has shown a knack for cleaning the glass, especially in away games where he's averaged 3.4. Facing a Pelicans team that can sometimes struggle on the boards, Christie's potential to snag at least three rebounds feels very much within reach.Digging deeper, he's hit the over in 10 of his last 12 outings, which speaks volumes about his consistency. Notably, in his last 15 away games, he's successfully surpassed the 2.5 mark 11 times. With an expected stat value of 3.76 and an implied probability of 63.7%, this isn't just a hunch-it's backed by solid data. As he steps onto the court in New Orleans, expect Christie to capitalize on every opportunity and come through for bettors.

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