Khris Middleton (Washington Wizards) Under 3.5 Assists (-182)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the showdown between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Dallas Mavericks, targeting Khris Middleton for under 3.5 assists feels like a savvy play. Despite his impressive playmaking ability, Middleton has averaged just 2.8 assists over his last five games, suggesting he's been more of a scorer than a facilitator lately. The matchup against the Mavericks adds another layer; their defense has effectively contained playmakers, allowing only 5 assists to opponents in their last five games at home. While Middleton has notably hit the over against Dallas in previous matchups, the current trends tell a different story. With an overall hit rate of 3 out of his last 3 games, he's certainly capable, but there's a shift happening. Given the implied probability of 64.5%, and the statistical expectation leaning toward 2.71 assists, backing the under is a compelling choice.

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