Al Horford (Boston Celtics) Under 14.5 Points + Assists (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the matchup between the Warriors and Timberwolves, Al Horford's recent trend points towards a solid opportunity to bet the under on his combined points and assists at 14.5. Over his last five games, Horford has averaged just 9.2 points and a mere 1.4 assists, numbers that don't suggest he'll crack that threshold, especially considering he has only surpassed it in three of his last ten outings. His performance against Minnesota has been equally telling, with an average of just 10.6 points and 3 assists per game. The Timberwolves have been tough defensively, limiting opponents to an average of 8 points and 4 assists in their last five. Given the context of recent games and defensive matchups, it's reasonable to expect Horford to fall short once again, making the under a savvy pick.

Al Horford (Boston Celtics) Under 3.5 Assists (-172)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Minnesota Timberwolves, targeting Al Horford to go under 3.5 assists feels like a savvy play. Over the last five games, he's only averaged 1.4 assists, a stark contrast to the 3.5 mark we're focusing on. Even in home games, where he's slightly improved to 2, he hasn't quite hit that threshold. Historical context adds weight to this wager; against the Timberwolves, he's averaged just 3 assists recently, while their defense has limited opponents to an average of 4 assists per game at home. With a hit rate of 10 out of his last 12 games going under and a strong model backing this trend, it's clear that Horford's playmaking role is diminishing. Expect him to fall short of that 3.5 mark, making this bet a compelling choice.

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