Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions Prediction & Picks : Winning Game Angles

Patrick Dangerfield is a strong bet to score anytime in the Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions game due to his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 home games and 0.6 goals against Brisbane at home, his goal-scoring consistency is evident. Additionally, his solid average of 2.8 shots at goal and involvement in 9 scoring plays per game make him a constant threat in the forward line. Combined with a high goal accuracy of 50%, Dangerfield's impact inside 50 with an average of 4.6 entries and 1.6 marks inside 50 further reinforce his goal-scoring potential. The model predicting him to score 1.4 goals with an 8.9% edge indicates a high likelihood of him hitting the back of the net in this matchup.

Charlie Cameron (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-278)

Charlie Cameron is a strong bet to score anytime in the Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions game due to his recent form. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 away games and a 40.0% goal accuracy, Cameron consistently threatens the opposition's defense. His 2.4 shots at goal and 1.2 marks inside 50 per game show his ability to create scoring opportunities. Moreover, his average of 4.2 score involvements highlights his impact on the game. Facing Geelong, against whom he averages 1.2 goals in his last 5 matchups, Cameron's strong goal-scoring history makes him a reliable choice to split the middle in this game.

Kai Lohmann (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-370)

Kai Lohmann is a strong bet to score anytime based on his impressive recent form. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five away games and a goal accuracy of 55.0%, he consistently poses a threat inside 50. Against the upcoming opponent, Geelong Cats, he has an even higher average of 1.7 goals in his last five encounters. With his recent performance averaging 3 shots at goal, 4.6 score involvements, and 1.6 marks inside 50, Lohmann is poised to split the middle at least once in this matchup. The model's prediction of 1.4 goals, supported by a 7.6% edge, aligns well with his recent output, making this bet on Lohmann to score anytime a solid choice.

Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions : Brisbane Lions 11.5 (-111)

The bet on Brisbane Lions +11.5 is supported by their recent performance metrics. Despite Geelong Cats' strong home form, averaging a 45.2 margin in their last 5 home games, Brisbane's away resilience with a narrow 2.6 average margin suggests they can keep this game tighter. Brisbane's ability to limit points against them (67.8) compared to Geelong's average points for (107) indicates a potential to stay within the spread. With Brisbane averaging 84.2 points for and Geelong conceding 72.4 on average at home, Brisbane's capacity to score and keep the game competitive makes the +11.5 line a favorable bet based on recent form and matchup dynamics.

Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions : Geelong Cats Win (-167)

The bet on Geelong Cats to win against Brisbane Lions is backed by their dominant recent form at home. Geelong's high average margin of 45.2 points and impressive offensive prowess, averaging 117.6 points scored in their last five home games, indicate a potent attack. In contrast, Brisbane's average margin of 2.6 points in away games suggests vulnerability on the road. Geelong's strong clearance and inside 50 numbers, coupled with their ability to limit turnovers, give them an edge in controlling the game. With a solid defensive record (72.4 points against on average at home) and Brisbane's struggles to score away from home, the data favors Geelong's ability to secure a victory at the MCG.