Espanyol vs Girona: Espanyol Draw No Bet (-278)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Espanyol's performance at home has been notably stronger than Girona's away performance. Espanyol's average home score is higher (1.2 vs 0.6) and they concede fewer goals (0.8 vs 2.4). Further, Espanyol's Expected Goals (xG) at home is slightly lower than Girona's away xG (0.66 vs 0.72), suggesting Espanyol's defense is more effective. Also, Girona's opponent xG is significantly higher when playing away (2.16), indicating their defense struggles on the road. Espanyol's superior tackling at home (9.2 vs 9) and fewer fouls (9.8 vs 9.2) further suggest a more disciplined and effective defensive strategy. In the 'Draw No Bet' market, this data suggests Espanyol is more likely to either win or draw the match, making them a safer bet.
Espanyol vs Girona: Draw Moneyline (+240)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on a 'Draw' in the Espanyol vs Girona match is driven by the recent performance data of both teams. Espanyol's home record shows a lack of consistent wins, with only one win in their last five matches. Similarly, Girona's away record is also unimpressive, with no wins in their last five matches. Furthermore, the head-to-head record between the two teams shows they have drawn twice in their last five encounters. The average scores for both teams in their last five matches are also low, with Espanyol averaging 1 and Girona averaging 1, indicating close matches. The expected goals (xG) average also suggests low-scoring games. Given these statistics, it's reasonable to expect a closely contested match, increasing the likelihood of a draw.
Espanyol vs Girona: Draw Moneyline (+240)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on a draw between Espanyol and Girona is justified by their recent performance and head-to-head statistics. Both teams have a similar average score in their last five games (1 for Espanyol and 1 for Girona), suggesting a balanced offensive capability. Moreover, their head-to-head record indicates a propensity for draws, with two out of the last five encounters ending in a stalemate. Additionally, Girona's poor away record (0-1-4) coupled with Espanyol's mediocre home performance (2-3-0) further increases the likelihood of a draw. These factors, combined with the relatively close expected goals (xG) averages of the teams, suggest a competitive match where neither team may be able to secure a decisive victory, hence making a draw a plausible outcome.
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