John Gibson (Detroit Red Wings) Over 21.5 Saves (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
John Gibson has been consistently facing a high volume of shots, with an average of 23 shots against him in his last five home games. Despite the high number of shots, his save average has been slightly lower, at 18.8. However, the model predicts a save count of 24.19 in the upcoming game, which is significantly higher than Gibson's recent performance. This prediction could be due to a combination of factors, such as the upcoming opponent's offensive tendencies or Gibson's improved performance in practice. Furthermore, the high standard deviation of 7.68 in the model prediction indicates a high degree of variability in Gibson's performance. This suggests that there is a considerable chance that Gibson could exceed his recent save averages in the upcoming game. Therefore, betting on John Gibson for over 21.5 saves seems to be statistically justified.
Morgan Geekie (Boston Bruins) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-189)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Detroit Red Wings vs Boston Bruins : Boston Bruins +1.5 (-161)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Boston Bruins +1.5 is supported by several statistical factors. Firstly, the Bruins have a positive recent record against Detroit Red Wings, winning 3 of their last 5 matchups. Additionally, the Bruins have shown strong defensive play, with a Goals Against Average of just 2.4 in their last 5 games overall, compared to the Red Wings' 3. Furthermore, the Red Wings have been conceding more than they have been scoring in their recent home games, with a Goals Against Average of 3.6 compared to their Goals For Average of 3. This suggests the Bruins, even playing away, have a good chance of keeping the game competitive. The model prediction of 0.1 also supports a close game, which makes the Boston Bruins +1.5 a strategic bet.
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