WNBA model board
Live 1 games · Mon 26 Oct · version 6 of 6 · updated Mon 26 Oct, 1:31 pm ET
This week · every game, sorted by kickoff · click a column to sort
v6 · 1 h ago
| Kick (ET) | Game | Spread (home) | Market | Gap | Total | Market | Home win | Fair price · home | Fair price · away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 8:10p | Atlanta DreamatGolden State Valkyries | -2 | -1.5 | -0.7 | 159.5 | 150.5 | 52% | -110 | +110 |
Spread and total are our numbers. Market is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out. Gap is ours minus theirs. Fair price is the odds that would be fair at our win chance, with no bookmaker margin.First-half lines, uncertainty and every version are in the files.
Versions this week
The board is republished when the numbers move. Every version is kept with its timestamp, so a line can always be traced back to the moment it was published.
v6Mon 26 Oct, 1:31 pm ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v5Mon 26 Oct, 10:02 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v4Mon 26 Oct, 1:32 am ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v3Sun 25 Oct, 4:01 pm ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v2Sun 25 Oct, 7:31 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v1Sat 24 Oct, 3:48 pm ETOpening board · 1 games
Player props this week · 10 players · 61 markets across 1 games · our forecast next to the bookmakers' main number
v12 · 1 h agofirst 6 open · rest in the feed
| Kick (ET) | Player | Market | Line | Our projection | Over chance | Fair over | Fair under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 8:10p | Jordin CanadaDream at Valkyries | Pts + reb + ast | 21.5 | 27.5 | 82% | -467 | +467 |
| Mon 8:10p | Jordin CanadaDream at Valkyries | Pts + reb | 14.5 | 19.3 | 81% | -433 | +433 |
| Mon 8:10p | Jordin CanadaDream at Valkyries | Pts + ast | 17.5 | 22.6 | 75% | -297 | +297 |
| Mon 8:10p | Jordin CanadaDream at Valkyries | Points | 11.5 | 15.1 | 73% | -264 | +264 |
| Mon 8:10p | Kiah StokesDream at Valkyries | Points | 3.5 | 6.1 | 70% | -237 | +237 |
| Mon 8:10p | Jordin CanadaDream at Valkyries | Assists | 6.5 | 8 | 68% | -217 | +217 |
| Mon 8:10p | Angel ReeseDream at Valkyries | Points | 55 more player markets in the feed · choose your leagues | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Angel ReeseDream at Valkyries | Pts + reb + ast | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Angel ReeseDream at Valkyries | Pts + ast | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Angel ReeseDream at Valkyries | Pts + reb | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Rhyne HowardDream at Valkyries | Assists | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Rhyne HowardDream at Valkyries | Points | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Tiffany HayesDream at Valkyries | Rebounds | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Allisha GrayDream at Valkyries | Reb + ast | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Allisha GrayDream at Valkyries | Pts + reb + ast | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Rhyne HowardDream at Valkyries | Rebounds | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Angel ReeseDream at Valkyries | Threes | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Naz HillmonDream at Valkyries | Pts + reb | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Jordin CanadaDream at Valkyries | Threes | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Rhyne HowardDream at Valkyries | Pts + ast | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Jordin CanadaDream at Valkyries | Rebounds | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Jordin CanadaDream at Valkyries | Reb + ast | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Gabby WilliamsDream at Valkyries | Pts + reb | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Gabby WilliamsDream at Valkyries | Pts + reb + ast | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Gabby WilliamsDream at Valkyries | Assists | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Veronica BurtonDream at Valkyries | Rebounds | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Allisha GrayDream at Valkyries | Pts + ast | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Rhyne HowardDream at Valkyries | Pts + reb | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Rhyne HowardDream at Valkyries | Pts + reb + ast | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Allisha GrayDream at Valkyries | Threes | ····· | ||||
31 more player markets are in the props file with the feed. Our projection is the stat we expect him to reach. Over chance is how likely he goes over the bookmakers' number. Fair prices have no bookmaker margin. Under chance, uncertainty and every version are in the props file.Player stats come with every league you buy, at no extra cost.
Game markets this round · 2 market types · 3 main lines across 1 games · team totals, halves, quarters and more, priced by our model
v5 · 12 h ago
| Kick (ET) | Game | Market | Side | Line | Our chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 8:10p | Dream at Valkyries | Spread | Golden State Valkyries | -0.5 | 49% | +103 |
| Mon 8:10p | Dream at Valkyries | Total | Over | 149.5 | 55% | -124 |
| Mon 8:10p | Dream at Valkyries | Total | Over | 150 | 55% | -122 |
Our chance is how likely this side wins at this number. Fair price has no bookmaker margin. Alternate lines, the projection behind each market and every version are in the markets file.Other game bets come with every league you buy, at no extra cost.
Fantasy projections this round · 6 players · AFL Fantasy points
13 h agofirst 6 open · rest in the feed
| Player | Pos | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Angel Reese | 35.1 | |
| Angel Reese | 34.4 | |
| Jordin Canada | 33.1 | |
| Jordin Canada | 32.1 | |
| Rhyne Howard | 22.8 | |
| Rhyne Howard | 21.6 | |
| Veronica Burton | 6 more players in the feed · choose your leagues | |
| Veronica Burton | ····· | |
| Tiffany Hayes | ····· | |
| Tiffany Hayes | ····· | |
| Kaila Charles | ····· | |
| Kaila Charles | ····· |
Points = our model's expected fantasy score for the coming round; the stat line behind it is in the file. Fantasy files are refreshed by each model run and stamped with updated_utc.Fantasy projections come with the board licence at no extra cost.
| Kick (ET) | Game | Spread (home) | Market | Gap | Total | Market | Home win | Fair price · home | Fair price · away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 1:10p | Golden State ValkyriesatAtlanta Dream | -3.5 | -5 | +1.5 | 170 | 153.5 | 57% | -133 | +133 |
1 games · each game as we last published it before its kick-off.
How to read the board
Spread (home)
The model's margin, written from the home side. −6.5 means we make the home team 6.5 points better. A plus number means the home team is the underdog.
Total
The combined score we expect. The Market column beside it is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out.
Home win and fair price
Home win is the chance the home team wins. Fair price turns that chance into odds with no bookmaker margin (the cut a bookmaker keeps), for both sides.
Gap
Our spread minus the market spread. A big gap is a disagreement worth a closer look, not a promise. Every gap is in the file with its timestamp.
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