NRL model board
Switching on season Mar to Oct
No games on the board right now
The NRL season runs Mar to Oct. The board opens with the first priced game and stays free to preview here every week.
| Kick (ET) | Game | Spread (home) | Market | Gap | Total | Market | Home win | Fair price · home | Fair price · away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 4:30a | Newcastle KnightsatSydney Roosters | -21.5 | -8.5 | -13.1 | 47.5 | 43 | 66% | -196 | +196 |
How to read the board
Spread (home)
The model's margin, written from the home side. −6.5 means we make the home team 6.5 points better. A plus number means the home team is the underdog.
Total
The combined score we expect. The Market column beside it is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out.
Home win and fair price
Home win is the chance the home team wins. Fair price turns that chance into odds with no bookmaker margin (the cut a bookmaker keeps), for both sides.
Gap
Our spread minus the market spread. A big gap is a disagreement worth a closer look, not a promise. Every gap is in the file with its timestamp.
Want the whole board, every week, in your own spreadsheet? The Predictions feed gives you every game on this board as a file, a live link, an API and a webhook. Pay monthly or yearly and cancel any time.