NHL model board
Live 14 games · next 7 days · version 3 of 4 · updated Mon 26 Oct, 1:25 pm ET
Next 7 days · every game, sorted by kickoff · click a column to sort
v3 · 2 h agofirst 6 open · rest in the feed
| Kick (ET) | Game | Spread (home) | Market | Gap | Total | Market | Home win | Fair price · home | Fair price · away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 7:00p | Los Angeles KingsatNew York Rangers | -0.9 | -1.5 | +0.6 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 53% | -111 | +111 |
| Mon 8:30p | Toronto Maple LeafsatCalgary Flames | -0.3 | +1.5 | -1.8 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 39% | +154 | -154 |
| Mon 9:30p | Detroit Red WingsatEdmonton Oilers | -0.3 | -1.5 | +1.2 | 5.9 | 6.5 | 66% | -195 | +195 |
| Tue 7:00p | Columbus Blue JacketsatPhiladelphia Flyers | +0.5 | +1.5 | -1.0 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 55% | -120 | +120 |
| Tue 8:00p | Boston BruinsatCarolina Hurricanes | -0.7 | -1.5 | +0.8 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 66% | -192 | +192 |
| Tue 8:00p | Los Angeles KingsatChicago Blackhawks | +0.2 | +1.5 | -1.3 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 45% | +124 | -124 |
| Tue 8:00p | New Jersey DevilsatDallas Stars | 8 more games with every column in the feed · choose your leagues | |||||||
| Tue 8:00p | New York IslandersatNashville Predators | ····· | |||||||
| Tue 8:00p | Montréal CanadiensatSt Louis Blues | ····· | |||||||
| Tue 8:00p | Florida PanthersatWinnipeg Jets | ····· | |||||||
| Tue 9:00p | Minnesota WildatUtah Mammoth | ····· | |||||||
| Tue 10:00p | Vancouver CanucksatAnaheim Ducks | ····· | |||||||
| Tue 10:00p | Ottawa SenatorsatVegas Golden Knights | ····· | |||||||
| Tue 10:30p | Buffalo SabresatSan Jose Sharks | ····· | |||||||
Spread and total are our numbers. Market is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out. Gap is ours minus theirs. Fair price is the odds that would be fair at our win chance, with no bookmaker margin.First-half lines, uncertainty and every version are in the files.
Versions by day
The board is republished when the numbers move. Every version is kept with its timestamp, so a line can always be traced back to the moment it was published.
v3Mon 26 Oct · Mon 26 Oct, 1:25 pm ETMarket refresh · 3 games
v2Mon 26 Oct · Mon 26 Oct, 2:47 am ETRefresh · 3 games
v1Mon 26 Oct · Sun 25 Oct, 1:32 pm ETOpening board · 3 games
v1Tue 27 Oct · Mon 26 Oct, 1:25 pm ETOpening board · 11 games
Player props this week · 113 players · 300 markets across 3 games · our forecast next to the bookmakers' main number
v4 · 2 h agofirst 6 open · rest in the feed
| Kick (ET) | Player | Market | Line | Our projection | Over chance | Fair over | Fair under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 7:00p | Mika ZibanejadKings at Rangers | Points | 0.5 | 1.1 | 67% | -204 | +204 |
| Mon 7:00p | Artemi PanarinKings at Rangers | Points | 0.5 | 1.1 | 67% | -204 | +204 |
| Mon 7:00p | Alexis LafrenièreKings at Rangers | Points | 0.5 | 1 | 63% | -171 | +171 |
| Mon 7:00p | Adrian KempeKings at Rangers | Points | 0.5 | 0.9 | 62% | -163 | +163 |
| Mon 7:00p | Adam FoxKings at Rangers | Points | 0.5 | 0.9 | 60% | -148 | +148 |
| Mon 7:00p | Trevor MooreKings at Rangers | Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | 59% | -145 | +145 |
| Mon 7:00p | J.T. MillerKings at Rangers | Shots on goal | 294 more player markets in the feed · choose your leagues | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Will CuylleKings at Rangers | Shots on goal | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Adam FoxKings at Rangers | Assists | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Pavel DorofeyevKings at Rangers | Points | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | J.T. MillerKings at Rangers | Points | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Alexis LafrenièreKings at Rangers | Assists | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Darcy KuemperKings at Rangers | Saves | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Artemi PanarinKings at Rangers | Assists | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Pavel DorofeyevKings at Rangers | Shots on goal | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Gabe PerreaultKings at Rangers | Shots on goal | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Artemi PanarinKings at Rangers | Shots on goal | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Adrian KempeKings at Rangers | Shots on goal | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Mats ZuccarelloKings at Rangers | Points | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Adrian KempeKings at Rangers | Assists | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Adam FoxKings at Rangers | Shots on goal | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Brandt ClarkeKings at Rangers | Shots on goal | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Alex LaferriereKings at Rangers | Points | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Alex LaferriereKings at Rangers | Assists | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Brandt ClarkeKings at Rangers | Assists | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Mika ZibanejadKings at Rangers | Assists | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | J.T. MillerKings at Rangers | Assists | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Alex LaferriereKings at Rangers | Shots on goal | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Gabe PerreaultKings at Rangers | Points | ····· | ||||
| Mon 7:00p | Mika ZibanejadKings at Rangers | Shots on goal | ····· | ||||
270 more player markets are in the props file with the feed. Our projection is the stat we expect him to reach. Over chance is how likely he goes over the bookmakers' number. Fair prices have no bookmaker margin. Under chance, uncertainty and every version are in the props file.Player stats come with every league you buy, at no extra cost.
Game markets this round · 8 market types · 32 main lines across 3 games · team totals, halves, quarters and more, priced by our model
v2 · 12 h agofirst 6 open · rest in the feed
| Kick (ET) | Game | Market | Side | Line | Our chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 7:00p | Kings at Rangers | Spread | New York Rangers | 1.5 | 74% | -278 |
| Mon 7:00p | Kings at Rangers | Spread | New York Rangers | 2.5 | 86% | -625 |
| Mon 7:00p | Kings at Rangers | Total | Under | 4.5 | 21% | +367 |
| Mon 7:00p | Kings at Rangers | Total | Under | 5.5 | 44% | +128 |
| Mon 7:00p | Kings at Rangers | Total | Under | 6.5 | 55% | -124 |
| Mon 7:00p | Kings at Rangers | Spread (2nd period) | New York Rangers | -0.5 | 34% | +191 |
| Mon 7:00p | Kings at Rangers | Spread (3rd period) | New York Rangers | 26 more main lines and every alternate in the feed · choose your leagues | ||
| Mon 7:00p | Kings at Rangers | Moneyline | New York Rangers | ····· | ||
| Mon 7:00p | Kings at Rangers | 3-way moneyline | New York Rangers | ····· | ||
| Mon 7:00p | Kings at Rangers | 3-way moneyline (2nd period) | New York Rangers | ····· | ||
| Mon 8:30p | Leafs at Flames | Spread | Calgary Flames | ····· | ||
| Mon 8:30p | Leafs at Flames | Spread | Calgary Flames | ····· | ||
| Mon 8:30p | Leafs at Flames | Total | Under | ····· | ||
| Mon 8:30p | Leafs at Flames | Total | Under | ····· | ||
| Mon 8:30p | Leafs at Flames | Spread (2nd period) | Calgary Flames | ····· | ||
| Mon 8:30p | Leafs at Flames | Spread (3rd period) | Calgary Flames | ····· | ||
| Mon 8:30p | Leafs at Flames | Moneyline | Calgary Flames | ····· | ||
| Mon 8:30p | Leafs at Flames | 3-way moneyline | Calgary Flames | ····· | ||
| Mon 8:30p | Leafs at Flames | 3-way moneyline (2nd period) | Calgary Flames | ····· | ||
| Mon 8:30p | Leafs at Flames | 3-way moneyline (3rd period) | Calgary Flames | ····· | ||
| Mon 9:30p | Wings at Oilers | Spread | Detroit Red Wings | ····· | ||
| Mon 9:30p | Wings at Oilers | Spread | Detroit Red Wings | ····· | ||
| Mon 9:30p | Wings at Oilers | Total | Under | ····· | ||
| Mon 9:30p | Wings at Oilers | Total | Under | ····· | ||
| Mon 9:30p | Wings at Oilers | Total | Under | ····· | ||
| Mon 9:30p | Wings at Oilers | Total | Under | ····· | ||
| Mon 9:30p | Wings at Oilers | Total | Under | ····· | ||
| Mon 9:30p | Wings at Oilers | Spread (3rd period) | Detroit Red Wings | ····· | ||
| Mon 9:30p | Wings at Oilers | Moneyline | Detroit Red Wings | ····· | ||
| Mon 9:30p | Wings at Oilers | 3-way moneyline | Detroit Red Wings | ····· | ||
2 more main lines and every alternate line are in the markets file with the feed. Our chance is how likely this side wins at this number. Fair price has no bookmaker margin. Alternate lines, the projection behind each market and every version are in the markets file.Other game bets come with every league you buy, at no extra cost.
Fantasy projections this round · 3 players · AFL Fantasy points
13 h ago
| Player | Pos | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas RaymondDetroit Red Wings | 4.8 | |
| Viktor ArvidssonDetroit Red Wings | 4.2 | |
| Connor McDavidEdmonton Oilers | 4.0 | |
| Lucas RaymondDetroit Red Wings | 3.4 | |
| Viktor ArvidssonDetroit Red Wings | 3.0 | |
| Connor McDavidEdmonton Oilers | 2.9 |
Points = our model's expected fantasy score for the coming round; the stat line behind it is in the file. Fantasy files are refreshed by each model run and stamped with updated_utc.Fantasy projections come with the board licence at no extra cost.
| Kick (ET) | Game | Spread (home) | Market | Gap | Total | Market | Home win | Fair price · home | Fair price · away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 3:00p | Florida PanthersatChicago Blackhawks | +0.5 | +1.5 | -1.0 | 5.9 | 6.5 | 33% | +200 | -200 |
| Sun 6:00p | New York IslandersatDallas Stars | -0.4 | -1.5 | +1.1 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 64% | -178 | +178 |
| Sun 7:00p | Montréal CanadiensatWinnipeg Jets | -0.1 | +1.5 | -1.6 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 45% | +121 | -121 |
| Sun 8:00p | Colorado AvalancheatNashville Predators | +0.5 | +1.5 | -1.0 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 29% | +244 | -244 |
| Sun 10:00p | Minnesota WildatVancouver Canucks | +0.2 | +1.5 | -1.3 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 37% | +174 | -174 |
5 games · each game as we last published it before its kick-off.
How to read the board
Spread (home)
The model's margin, written from the home side. −6.5 means we make the home team 6.5 points better. A plus number means the home team is the underdog.
Total
The combined score we expect. The Market column beside it is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out.
Home win and fair price
Home win is the chance the home team wins. Fair price turns that chance into odds with no bookmaker margin (the cut a bookmaker keeps), for both sides.
Gap
Our spread minus the market spread. A big gap is a disagreement worth a closer look, not a promise. Every gap is in the file with its timestamp.
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