MLB model board
Live 1 games · Mon 26 Oct · version 6 of 6 · updated Mon 26 Oct, 2:59 pm ET
This week · every game, sorted by kickoff · click a column to sort
v6 · 31 min ago
| Kick (ET) | Game | Spread (home) | Market | Gap | Total | Market | Home win | Fair price · home | Fair price · away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 8:10p | Milwaukee BrewersatTampa Bay Rays | +0.4 | +1.5 | -1.1 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 49% | +103 | -103 |
Spread and total are our numbers. Market is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out. Gap is ours minus theirs. Fair price is the odds that would be fair at our win chance, with no bookmaker margin.First-half lines, uncertainty and every version are in the files.
Versions this week
The board is republished when the numbers move. Every version is kept with its timestamp, so a line can always be traced back to the moment it was published.
v6Mon 26 Oct, 2:59 pm ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v5Sun 25 Oct, 10:59 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v4Sun 25 Oct, 10:15 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v3Sun 25 Oct, 2:59 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v2Sun 25 Oct, 11:02 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v1Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 am ETOpening board · 1 games
Player props this week · 20 players · 224 markets across 1 games · our forecast next to the bookmakers' main number
v5 · 31 min agofirst 6 open · rest in the feed
| Kick (ET) | Player | Market | Line | Our projection | Over chance | Fair over | Fair under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 8:10p | Freddy PeraltaBrewers at Rays | Pitcher hits allowed | 3.5 | 4.6 | 67% | -202 | +202 |
| Mon 8:10p | Jake BauersBrewers at Rays | Batter strikeouts | 0.5 | 1 | 63% | -168 | +168 |
| Mon 8:10p | Robert GasserBrewers at Rays | Pitcher hits allowed | 3.5 | 4.3 | 63% | -167 | +167 |
| Mon 8:10p | Garrett MitchellBrewers at Rays | Batter strikeouts | 0.5 | 1 | 62% | -162 | +162 |
| Mon 8:10p | Junior CamineroBrewers at Rays | Batter strikeouts | 0.5 | 1 | 62% | -161 | +161 |
| Mon 8:10p | Jonathan ArandaBrewers at Rays | Batter hits | 0.5 | 0.9 | 61% | -158 | +158 |
| Mon 8:10p | Jackson ChourioBrewers at Rays | Batter hits | 218 more player markets in the feed · choose your leagues | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Junior CamineroBrewers at Rays | Batter hits | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | William ContrerasBrewers at Rays | Batter hits | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Freddy PeraltaBrewers at Rays | Pitcher earned runs | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Garrett MitchellBrewers at Rays | Batter hits | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Freddy PeraltaBrewers at Rays | Pitcher strikeouts | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Jake BauersBrewers at Rays | Batter hits | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Brice TurangBrewers at Rays | Batter hits | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Yandy DiazBrewers at Rays | Batter strikeouts | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Robert GasserBrewers at Rays | Pitcher earned runs | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Cooper PrattBrewers at Rays | Batter hits runs rbis | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Cooper PrattBrewers at Rays | Batter hits | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Chandler SimpsonBrewers at Rays | Batter hits runs rbis | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Yandy DiazBrewers at Rays | Batter hits runs rbis | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Yandy DiazBrewers at Rays | Batter singles | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Jackson ChourioBrewers at Rays | Batter hits runs rbis | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Chandler SimpsonBrewers at Rays | Batter singles | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Jackson ChourioBrewers at Rays | Batter strikeouts | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | William ContrerasBrewers at Rays | Batter hits runs rbis | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Brice TurangBrewers at Rays | Batter strikeouts | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Junior CamineroBrewers at Rays | Batter hits runs rbis | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | William ContrerasBrewers at Rays | Batter strikeouts | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Jackson ChourioBrewers at Rays | Batter singles | ····· | ||||
| Mon 8:10p | Robert GasserBrewers at Rays | Pitcher walks | ····· | ||||
194 more player markets are in the props file with the feed. Our projection is the stat we expect him to reach. Over chance is how likely he goes over the bookmakers' number. Fair prices have no bookmaker margin. Under chance, uncertainty and every version are in the props file.Player stats come with every league you buy, at no extra cost.
Game markets this round · 2 market types · 3 main lines across 1 games · team totals, halves, quarters and more, priced by our model
v4 · 14 h ago
| Kick (ET) | Game | Market | Side | Line | Our chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 8:00p | Brewers at Rays | Total | Over | 7.5 | 44% | +127 |
| Mon 8:00p | Brewers at Rays | Total | Over | 8 | 39% | +158 |
| Mon 8:00p | Brewers at Rays | Moneyline (first 5 innings) | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 43% | +131 |
Our chance is how likely this side wins at this number. Fair price has no bookmaker margin. Alternate lines, the projection behind each market and every version are in the markets file.Other game bets come with every league you buy, at no extra cost.
| Kick (ET) | Game | Spread (home) | Market | Gap | Total | Market | Home win | Fair price · home | Fair price · away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8:00p | Tampa Bay RaysatMilwaukee Brewers | -0.4 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 56% | -126 | +126 |
1 games · each game as we last published it before its kick-off.
How to read the board
Spread (home)
The model's margin, written from the home side. −6.5 means we make the home team 6.5 points better. A plus number means the home team is the underdog.
Total
The combined score we expect. The Market column beside it is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out.
Home win and fair price
Home win is the chance the home team wins. Fair price turns that chance into odds with no bookmaker margin (the cut a bookmaker keeps), for both sides.
Gap
Our spread minus the market spread. A big gap is a disagreement worth a closer look, not a promise. Every gap is in the file with its timestamp.
Want the whole board, every week, in your own spreadsheet? The Predictions feed gives you every game on this board as a file, a live link, an API and a webhook. Pay monthly or yearly and cancel any time.