La Liga model board
Live 8 games · next 7 days · version 16 of 35 · updated Mon 26 Oct, 3:17 pm ET
Next 7 days · every game, sorted by kickoff · click a column to sort
v16 · 14 min agofirst 6 open · rest in the feed
| Kick (ET) | Game | Spread (home) | Market | Gap | Total | Market | Home win | Fair price · home | Fair price · away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 4:00p | CA OsasunaatSevilla | -0.4 | -0.5 | +0.1 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 50% | -102 | +359 |
| Fri 4:00p | EspanyolatVillarreal | -1.4 | — | — | 3.0 | — | 61% | -156 | +478 |
| Sat 9:00a | Atlético MadridatLevante | +0.3 | — | — | 3.3 | — | 20% | +402 | -142 |
| Sat 11:15a | Celta VigoatRayo Vallecano | -0.9 | — | — | 2.6 | — | 41% | +143 | +223 |
| Sat 4:00p | AlavésatBarcelona | -2.1 | -2.5 | +0.4 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 83% | -474 | +2005 |
| Sun 8:00a | SevillaatGetafe | -0.1 | -1.5 | +1.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 33% | +204 | +183 |
| Sun 12:30p | ValenciaatElche CF | 2 more games with every column in the feed · choose your leagues | |||||||
| Sun 3:00p | Real SociedadatAthletic Bilbao | ····· | |||||||
Spread and total are our numbers. Market is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out. Gap is ours minus theirs. Fair price is the odds that would be fair at our win chance, with no bookmaker margin.First-half lines, uncertainty and every version are in the files.
Versions by day
The board is republished when the numbers move. Every version is kept with its timestamp, so a line can always be traced back to the moment it was published.
v16Mon 26 Oct · Mon 26 Oct, 3:17 pm ETMatch-day refresh · 1 games
v15Mon 26 Oct · Mon 26 Oct, 1:17 pm ETMatch-day refresh · 1 games
v14Mon 26 Oct · Mon 26 Oct, 7:17 am ETMatch-day refresh · 1 games
v13Mon 26 Oct · Mon 26 Oct, 3:17 am ETMatch-day refresh · 1 games
v12Mon 26 Oct · Mon 26 Oct, 1:58 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v11Mon 26 Oct · Sun 25 Oct, 9:17 pm ETMatch-day refresh · 1 games
v10Mon 26 Oct · Sun 25 Oct, 7:32 pm ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v9Mon 26 Oct · Sun 25 Oct, 11:17 am ETMatch-day refresh · 1 games
v8Mon 26 Oct · Sat 24 Oct, 8:59 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v8Sat 31 Oct · Fri 23 Oct, 10:00 pm ETMarket refresh · 3 games
v8Sun 1 Nov · Sat 24 Oct, 4:40 am ETMarket refresh · 3 games
v7Mon 26 Oct · Fri 23 Oct, 10:00 pm ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v7Sat 31 Oct · Wed 21 Oct, 9:58 pm ETRefresh · 3 games
v7Sun 1 Nov · Fri 23 Oct, 10:00 pm ETRefresh · 3 games
v6Mon 26 Oct · Thu 22 Oct, 10:09 pm ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v6Sat 31 Oct · Wed 21 Oct, 4:19 am ETRefresh · 3 games
v6Sun 1 Nov · Thu 22 Oct, 10:09 pm ETRefresh · 3 games
v5Mon 26 Oct · Wed 21 Oct, 4:19 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v5Sat 31 Oct · Tue 20 Oct, 9:49 pm ETRefresh · 3 games
v5Sun 1 Nov · Wed 21 Oct, 9:58 pm ETRefresh · 3 games
v4Mon 26 Oct · Tue 20 Oct, 4:12 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v4Sat 31 Oct · Tue 20 Oct, 4:12 am ETRefresh · 3 games
v4Sun 1 Nov · Tue 20 Oct, 9:49 pm ETRefresh · 3 games
v3Mon 26 Oct · Sun 18 Oct, 9:38 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v3Fri 30 Oct · Thu 22 Oct, 10:09 pm ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v3Sat 31 Oct · Mon 19 Oct, 9:45 pm ETRefresh · 3 games
v3Sun 1 Nov · Tue 20 Oct, 4:12 am ETRefresh · 3 games
v2Mon 26 Oct · Wed 14 Oct, 4:37 am ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v2Fri 30 Oct · Tue 20 Oct, 4:12 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v2Sat 31 Oct · Mon 19 Oct, 4:23 am ETRefresh · 3 games
v2Sun 1 Nov · Mon 19 Oct, 9:45 pm ETRefresh · 3 games
v1Mon 26 Oct · Mon 12 Oct, 4:09 am ETOpening board · 1 games
v1Fri 30 Oct · Mon 19 Oct, 4:23 am ETOpening board · 1 games
v1Sat 31 Oct · Sun 18 Oct, 9:38 pm ETOpening board · 1 games
v1Sun 1 Nov · Sun 18 Oct, 9:38 pm ETOpening board · 3 games
Player props this week · 4 players · 5 markets across 1 games · our forecast next to the bookmakers' main number
v1 · 19 h ago
| Kick (ET) | Player | Market | Line | Our projection | Over chance | Fair over | Fair under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 4:00p | Diego RicoOsasuna at Sevilla | Shots on target | 0.5 | 0.1 | 25% | +306 | -306 |
| Mon 4:00p | Chidera EjukeOsasuna at Sevilla | Card | 0.5 | 0.1 | 11% | +794 | -794 |
| Mon 4:00p | Valentin RosierOsasuna at Sevilla | Anytime scorer | 0.5 | 0 | 4% | +2294 | -2294 |
| Mon 4:00p | Chidera EjukeOsasuna at Sevilla | Red card | 0.5 | 0 | 1% | +15772 | -15772 |
| Mon 4:00p | Ante BudimirOsasuna at Sevilla | Shots on target | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0% | +99900 | -99900 |
Our projection is the stat we expect him to reach. Over chance is how likely he goes over the bookmakers' number. Fair prices have no bookmaker margin. Under chance, uncertainty and every version are in the props file.Player stats come with every league you buy, at no extra cost.
Game markets this week · 6 market types · 115 main lines across 8 games · team totals, halves, quarters and more, priced by our model
v23 · 18 h agofirst 6 open · rest in the feed
| Kick (ET) | Game | Market | Side | Line | Our chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Spread | CA Osasuna | 0.2 | 44% | +125 |
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Spread | CA Osasuna | 0.5 | 54% | -119 |
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Spread | CA Osasuna | 0.8 | 64% | -181 |
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Spread | CA Osasuna | 1 | 74% | -288 |
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Spread | CA Osasuna | 1.5 | 81% | -431 |
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Spread | CA Osasuna | 2.5 | 94% | -1702 |
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Total | Over | 109 more main lines and every alternate in the feed · choose your leagues | ||
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Total | Over | ····· | ||
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Total | Over | ····· | ||
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Total | Over | ····· | ||
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Total | Over | ····· | ||
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Total | Under | ····· | ||
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Both teams to score | Yes | ····· | ||
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Draw no bet | CA Osasuna | ····· | ||
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | Moneyline | CA Osasuna | ····· | ||
| Mon 4:00p | Osasuna at Sevilla | 3-way moneyline | CA Osasuna | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | Spread | Villarreal | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | Spread | Villarreal | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | Spread | Villarreal | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | Spread | Villarreal | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | Total | Over | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | Total | Over | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | Total | Over | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | Total | Over | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | Total | Over | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | Draw no bet | Villarreal | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | Moneyline | Villarreal | ····· | ||
| Fri 4:00p | Espanyol at Villarreal | 3-way moneyline | Villarreal | ····· | ||
| Sat 9:00a | Madrid at Levante | Spread | Levante | ····· | ||
| Sat 9:00a | Madrid at Levante | Spread | Levante | ····· | ||
85 more main lines and every alternate line are in the markets file with the feed. Our chance is how likely this side wins at this number. Fair price has no bookmaker margin. Alternate lines, the projection behind each market and every version are in the markets file.Other game bets come with every league you buy, at no extra cost.
| Kick (ET) | Game | Spread (home) | Market | Gap | Total | Market | Home win | Fair price · home | Fair price · away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9:00a | GetafeatAthletic Bilbao | -1.2 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 61% | -154 | +542 |
| Sun 11:15a | Real BetisatCelta Vigo | -0.1 | +0.5 | -0.6 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 30% | +232 | +134 |
| Sun 1:30p | LevanteatReal Sociedad | -0.2 | -1.0 | +0.8 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 60% | -151 | +433 |
| Sun 4:00p | Real MadridatBarcelona | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 58% | -136 | +293 |
4 games · each game as we last published it before its kick-off.
How to read the board
Spread (home)
The model's margin, written from the home side. −6.5 means we make the home team 6.5 points better. A plus number means the home team is the underdog.
Total
The combined score we expect. The Market column beside it is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out.
Home win and fair price
Home win is the chance the home team wins. Fair price turns that chance into odds with no bookmaker margin (the cut a bookmaker keeps), for both sides.
Gap
Our spread minus the market spread. A big gap is a disagreement worth a closer look, not a promise. Every gap is in the file with its timestamp.
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