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Cricket model board

Live 4 games · Tue 27 Oct · version 6 of 6 · updated Mon 26 Oct, 6:00 am ET

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This week  ·  every game, sorted by kickoff · click a column to sort
v6 · 9 h ago
Kick (ET)GameSpread (home)MarketGapTotalMarketHome winFair price · homeFair price · away
Tue 1:30a OmanatNetherlands ——— —— 65%-185+185
Tue 3:00a IndiaatNew Zealand ——— —— 35%+185-185
Tue 3:30a IrelandatNamibia ——— —— 42%+136-136
Tue 4:00a Sri LankaatPakistan ——— —— 64%-179+179
Spread and total are our numbers. Market is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out. Gap is ours minus theirs. Fair price is the odds that would be fair at our win chance, with no bookmaker margin.First-half lines, uncertainty and every version are in the files.

Versions this week

The board is republished when the numbers move. Every version is kept with its timestamp, so a line can always be traced back to the moment it was published.

v6Mon 26 Oct, 6:00 am ETRefresh · 4 games
v5Mon 26 Oct, 2:00 am ETRefresh · 3 games
v4Sun 25 Oct, 6:01 pm ETRefresh · 3 games
v3Sun 25 Oct, 6:00 am ETRefresh · 2 games
v2Sun 25 Oct, 2:01 am ETRefresh · 2 games
v1Sat 24 Oct, 6:00 pm ETOpening board · 1 games
Game markets this round  ·  1 market types · 2 main lines across 2 games · team totals, halves, quarters and more, priced by our model
v3 · 12 h ago
Kick (ET)GameMarketSideLineOur chanceFair price
Tue 3:00a India at Zealand Moneyline India —65%-185
Tue 3:30a Ireland at Namibia Moneyline Namibia —42%+136
Our chance is how likely this side wins at this number. Fair price has no bookmaker margin. Alternate lines, the projection behind each market and every version are in the markets file.Other game bets come with every league you buy, at no extra cost.
Last week, in full  ·  the final version of every game, free · Sun 25 Oct
CSVExcelJSON
Kick (ET)GameSpread (home)MarketGapTotalMarketHome winFair price · homeFair price · away
Sun 4:00a EnglandatPakistan ——— —— 55%-121+121
1 games · each game as we last published it before its kick-off.

How to read the board

Spread (home)

The model's margin, written from the home side. −6.5 means we make the home team 6.5 points better. A plus number means the home team is the underdog.

Total

The combined score we expect. The Market column beside it is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out.

Home win and fair price

Home win is the chance the home team wins. Fair price turns that chance into odds with no bookmaker margin (the cut a bookmaker keeps), for both sides.

Gap

Our spread minus the market spread. A big gap is a disagreement worth a closer look, not a promise. Every gap is in the file with its timestamp.

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