Brasileirão model board
Live 9 games · next 7 days · version 10 of 29 · updated Mon 26 Oct, 1:17 pm ET
Next 7 days · every game, sorted by kickoff · click a column to sort
v10 · 2 h agofirst 6 open · rest in the feed
| Kick (ET) | Game | Spread (home) | Market | Gap | Total | Market | Home win | Fair price · home | Fair price · away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 6:30p | GrêmioatCoritiba | +0.4 | -0.2 | +0.7 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 44% | +129 | +246 |
| Wed 6:30p | ChapecoenseatBragantino-SP | -1.1 | -1.5 | +0.4 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 72% | -253 | +839 |
| Wed 6:30p | InternacionalatFluminense | -0.9 | -0.2 | -0.7 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 47% | +113 | +300 |
| Wed 6:30p | PalmeirasatSantos | +0.4 | +0.2 | +0.2 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 32% | +214 | +151 |
| Wed 8:30p | Sao PauloatBahia | -0.6 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 48% | +110 | +297 |
| Wed 8:30p | BotafogoatRemo | -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 37% | +172 | +172 |
| Thu 7:00p | FlamengoatVasco da Gama | 3 more games with every column in the feed · choose your leagues | |||||||
| Fri 7:00p | MirassolatCorinthians | ····· | |||||||
| Sat 3:00p | VitoriaatCoritiba | ····· | |||||||
Spread and total are our numbers. Market is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out. Gap is ours minus theirs. Fair price is the odds that would be fair at our win chance, with no bookmaker margin.First-half lines, uncertainty and every version are in the files.
Versions by day
The board is republished when the numbers move. Every version is kept with its timestamp, so a line can always be traced back to the moment it was published.
v10Mon 26 Oct · Mon 26 Oct, 1:17 pm ETMatch-day refresh · 1 games
v9Mon 26 Oct · Sun 25 Oct, 7:32 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v8Mon 26 Oct · Sun 25 Oct, 1:17 pm ETMatch-day refresh · 1 games
v7Mon 26 Oct · Sun 25 Oct, 2:24 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v7Wed 28 Oct · Thu 22 Oct, 4:59 am ETRefresh · 5 games
v6Mon 26 Oct · Sat 24 Oct, 8:59 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v6Wed 28 Oct · Wed 21 Oct, 4:20 am ETMarket refresh · 5 games
v6Fri 30 Oct · Fri 23 Oct, 4:50 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v5Mon 26 Oct · Fri 23 Oct, 10:02 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v5Wed 28 Oct · Tue 20 Oct, 9:51 pm ETRefresh · 5 games
v5Fri 30 Oct · Thu 22 Oct, 4:59 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v4Mon 26 Oct · Tue 20 Oct, 4:14 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v4Wed 28 Oct · Tue 20 Oct, 4:14 am ETRefresh · 5 games
v4Fri 30 Oct · Wed 21 Oct, 10:00 pm ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v3Mon 26 Oct · Sun 18 Oct, 9:40 pm ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v3Wed 28 Oct · Mon 19 Oct, 9:46 pm ETRefresh · 5 games
v3Thu 29 Oct · Tue 20 Oct, 9:51 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v3Fri 30 Oct · Wed 21 Oct, 4:20 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v3Sat 31 Oct · Wed 21 Oct, 10:00 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v2Mon 26 Oct · Sat 17 Oct, 9:37 pm ETMarket refresh · 1 games
v2Wed 28 Oct · Mon 19 Oct, 4:24 am ETRefresh · 5 games
v2Thu 29 Oct · Tue 20 Oct, 4:14 am ETRefresh · 1 games
v2Fri 30 Oct · Tue 20 Oct, 9:51 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v2Sat 31 Oct · Tue 20 Oct, 9:51 pm ETRefresh · 1 games
v1Mon 26 Oct · Tue 13 Oct, 10:14 pm ETOpening board · 1 games
v1Wed 28 Oct · Sun 18 Oct, 9:40 pm ETOpening board · 3 games
v1Thu 29 Oct · Mon 19 Oct, 9:46 pm ETOpening board · 1 games
v1Fri 30 Oct · Mon 19 Oct, 9:46 pm ETOpening board · 1 games
v1Sat 31 Oct · Mon 19 Oct, 9:46 pm ETOpening board · 1 games
Game markets this week · 6 market types · 49 main lines across 9 games · team totals, halves, quarters and more, priced by our model
v21 · 10 h agofirst 6 open · rest in the feed
| Kick (ET) | Game | Market | Side | Line | Our chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 6:30p | Grêmio at Coritiba | Spread | Grêmio | 0.2 | 53% | -111 |
| Mon 6:30p | Grêmio at Coritiba | Both teams to score | No | — | 47% | +113 |
| Mon 6:30p | Grêmio at Coritiba | Moneyline | Grêmio | — | 29% | +244 |
| Mon 6:30p | Grêmio at Coritiba | Moneyline | Draw | — | 27% | +265 |
| Mon 6:30p | Grêmio at Coritiba | 3-way moneyline | Grêmio | — | 29% | +244 |
| Mon 6:30p | Grêmio at Coritiba | 3-way moneyline | Draw | — | 27% | +265 |
| Wed 6:30p | Chapecoense at Bragantino-SP | Total | Under | 43 more main lines and every alternate in the feed · choose your leagues | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Chapecoense at Bragantino-SP | Total | Under | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Chapecoense at Bragantino-SP | Both teams to score | Yes | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Chapecoense at Bragantino-SP | Moneyline | Chapecoense | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Chapecoense at Bragantino-SP | Moneyline | Draw | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Chapecoense at Bragantino-SP | 3-way moneyline | Chapecoense | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Chapecoense at Bragantino-SP | 3-way moneyline | Draw | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Internacional at Fluminense | Both teams to score | Yes | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Internacional at Fluminense | Draw no bet | Fluminense | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Internacional at Fluminense | Moneyline | Fluminense | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Internacional at Fluminense | 3-way moneyline | Fluminense | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Palmeiras at Santos | Both teams to score | Yes | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Palmeiras at Santos | Draw no bet | Palmeiras | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Palmeiras at Santos | Moneyline | Draw | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Palmeiras at Santos | Moneyline | Santos | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Palmeiras at Santos | 3-way moneyline | Draw | ····· | ||
| Wed 6:30p | Palmeiras at Santos | 3-way moneyline | Santos | ····· | ||
| Wed 8:30p | Paulo at Bahia | Both teams to score | Yes | ····· | ||
| Wed 8:30p | Paulo at Bahia | Draw no bet | Bahia | ····· | ||
| Wed 8:30p | Paulo at Bahia | Moneyline | Bahia | ····· | ||
| Wed 8:30p | Paulo at Bahia | 3-way moneyline | Bahia | ····· | ||
| Wed 8:30p | Botafogo at Remo | Both teams to score | No | ····· | ||
| Wed 8:30p | Botafogo at Remo | Draw no bet | Remo | ····· | ||
| Wed 8:30p | Botafogo at Remo | Moneyline | Draw | ····· | ||
19 more main lines and every alternate line are in the markets file with the feed. Our chance is how likely this side wins at this number. Fair price has no bookmaker margin. Alternate lines, the projection behind each market and every version are in the markets file.Other game bets come with every league you buy, at no extra cost.
| Kick (ET) | Game | Spread (home) | Market | Gap | Total | Market | Home win | Fair price · home | Fair price · away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 3:30p | BotafogoatInternacional | -0.2 | -0.5 | +0.3 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 47% | +111 | +275 |
| Sat 3:30p | Sao PauloatMirassol | -0.3 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 41% | +144 | +228 |
| Sat 5:30p | CorinthiansatVasco da Gama | -0.6 | -0.8 | +0.2 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 55% | -123 | +411 |
| Sat 5:30p | Bragantino-SPatPalmeiras | -1.2 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 60% | -153 | +481 |
| Sat 6:30p | FluminenseatChapecoense | +0.6 | +0.5 | +0.1 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 22% | +348 | -109 |
| Sat 8:00p | BahiaatSantos | -0.4 | -0.5 | +0.1 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 50% | -100 | +294 |
6 games · each game as we last published it before its kick-off.
How to read the board
Spread (home)
The model's margin, written from the home side. −6.5 means we make the home team 6.5 points better. A plus number means the home team is the underdog.
Total
The combined score we expect. The Market column beside it is the bookmakers' average number when this version went out.
Home win and fair price
Home win is the chance the home team wins. Fair price turns that chance into odds with no bookmaker margin (the cut a bookmaker keeps), for both sides.
Gap
Our spread minus the market spread. A big gap is a disagreement worth a closer look, not a promise. Every gap is in the file with its timestamp.
Want the whole board, every week, in your own spreadsheet? The Predictions feed gives you every game on this board as a file, a live link, an API and a webhook. Pay monthly or yearly and cancel any time.