Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns : Boston Celtics win (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on the Boston Celtics for the Moneyline market in their face-off against the Phoenix Suns is a move backed by some pretty compelling stats. The Celtics have been showing a strong performance on their home court, which is where this game is set. In addition, our model is predicting a near-certain win for the Celtics, with a confidence level of 98%. That's a massive edge of 8.9% over the implied probability of 80.6%, indicating that the Celtics are undervalued in this matchup. While the Suns have been holding their own this season, the Celtics' current form and the home advantage are strong factors in favor of a Boston victory. So, throw your support behind the Celtics on this one. They're poised to take the win.

Collin Gillespie (Phoenix Suns) Under 14.5 Points + Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns hit the road to face the Boston Celtics, all eyes will be on Collin Gillespie, but betting on him to go over 14.5 points and assists could be a risky play. Gillespie's recent form tells a different story; he's been held under this mark in 13 of his last 14 away games, showcasing a remarkable tendency to underperform when not at home. Furthermore, his overall hit rate in the last 20 games shows he's hit this under 85% of the time. With the Celtics' stingy defense, particularly against guards, the numbers seem to favor a low-output night for Gillespie. Given that he's only expected to contribute around 11.72 combined points and assists, it's hard to see him breaking through that 14.5 threshold. In a matchup where Boston excels in shutting down perimeter threats, taking the under on Gillespie feels like the smart play.

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns : Boston Celtics -8.5 (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In this exciting matchup between the Boston Celtics and the Phoenix Suns, the Celtics have a compelling edge. The model prediction of 11.58 points suggests the Celtics are expected to perform well beyond the 8.5-point spread, asserting a strong position for bettors. With an implied probability of 53.5%, the Celtics have a better-than-even chance of covering the spread. Additionally, the Celtics' home-court advantage should not be overlooked. Historically, they've shown impressive resilience and dominance on their home turf, which could further tilt the odds in their favor. Furthermore, the model edge of 12.6% denotes significant value in this bet, implying that the Celtics' actual chances are undervalued by the market. Therefore, a bet on 'Boston Celtics -8.5' presents an attractive proposition based on these data-driven insights.

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