Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns : Boston Celtics -8.5 (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Looking at the matchup between the Boston Celtics and Phoenix Suns, it's hard not to favor the Celtics, given the point spread of -8.5. There's a lot to love about Boston's recent performance. They've been lighting up the court consistently, outdoing their opponents by a hefty margin, which is reflected in the model prediction of 11.58. This suggests that they should not only win, but they should cover the spread with some room to spare. Phoenix, on the other hand, has been struggling on the road, which makes the Celtics look even more appealing for this bet. Don't overlook the model edge of 12.6% either-it's giving us a clear signal that Boston has a significant advantage in this game. So, let's ride the Celtics wave of dominance and expect them to cover the -8.5 spread.

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns : Boston Celtics win (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Boston Celtics take on the Phoenix Suns at home, it's hard to ignore the Celts' compelling performance data. Boston has been a juggernaut on their home court, with a model prediction of 0.98 indicating a near-certainty for success. This is likely owing to their meticulous playmaking, which has notably outshone the Suns' in recent match-ups. Phoenix, despite a commendable season, hasn't quite matched up to Boston's level of execution, especially during away games. Taking these factors into account, the Celtics' higher implied probability of 80.6% further bolsters the argument for siding with them. After all, betting is a game of probabilities, and the numbers here heavily favour the Boston Celtics. To sum it up, betting on the Celtics for the Moneyline market seems like a logical choice given their home advantage and superior performance data.

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Under 6.5 Rebounds + Assists (-147)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Suns gear up to face the Celtics in Boston, all eyes should be on Grayson Allen and his potential struggles to hit the mark on rebounds and assists. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 3.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists, which puts him well below the 6.5 total we're considering. When he steps onto the road, these numbers dip even further, with averages of 2.4 rebounds and 3 assists. The Celtics, known for their strong defense, will likely limit his opportunities even more. In fact, Allen's recent performance against them shows he's only managed 3.2 rebounds and a mere 1 assist. With a hit rate of just 25% against this opponent away from home and a solid overall track record of falling short of that 6.5 mark, betting the Under feels like a smart move here.

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