Jett Howard (Orlando Magic) Under 8.5 Points (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In Sunday's matchup between the Miami Heat and the Orlando Magic, targeting Jett Howard for an under on 8.5 points feels like a savvy play. Howard has struggled to find his rhythm, averaging just 5.8 points over his last five games, and even more glaring is his performance on the road, where he's barely scraping by with 5.6 points per game. Against the Heat, he's averaging a mere 2.5 points, and astonishingly, he hasn't managed to score a single point in their last outing as the visitor. With a hit rate of 19 out of his last 20 games sitting below this mark, it's clear he's been contained effectively. The Magic will likely rely on their more established scorers in this contest, leaving Howard as more of a role player. Given the stakes and the trends, banking on him to stay under 8.5 points is a smart bet.

Christian Braun (Denver Nuggets) Over 7.5 Rebounds + Assists (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the matchup between the Nuggets and the Lakers, all eyes should be on Christian Braun. Playing away in Los Angeles, Braun has demonstrated he's more than capable of stepping up. With an average of 6.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists over his last five outings, he's been trending upwards, particularly against the Lakers. In fact, when facing them away, he's averaged a solid 3 rebounds and 2 assists, pushing him right into the sweet spot for this prop bet.Braun's hit rate tells a compelling story too. He's cleared the 7.5 mark in 10 of his last 17 away games. With an expected stat value of 9.6 and a model edge favoring the over, it seems like a prime opportunity for Braun to shine. Look for him to leverage his role effectively, making the over on 7.5 rebounds + assists a savvy play.

Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers) Under 2.5 Assists (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Los Angeles Clippers and Sacramento Kings, targeting the under on Bennedict Mathurin's assists at 2.5 feels like a smart play. Mathurin has been hovering around the 1.2 assists mark over his last five games, and even when he's home, that average climbs only to 1.4. Against the Kings specifically, he's managed just 1.6 assists in their recent encounters. This trend really stands out when considering that the Kings allow an average of 2 assists per player in road games, a number that lends itself to the idea that Mathurin will struggle to hit that 2.5 threshold. With a hit rate of 19 out of his last 20 games on this under, and a solid 10 of 11 at home, it's clear that the odds are stacked in our favor. Expect a low assist output from Mathurin on Sunday.

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