Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 7.5 Rebounds + Assists (-147)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the Hawks' matchup against the Bucks, targeting the under on Nickeil Alexander-Walker's combined rebounds and assists at 7.5 feels like a savvy play. In his last five games, Alexander-Walker has averaged just 2.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists-he's not exactly lighting it up. When he's faced the Bucks in recent outings, his numbers dip even further, averaging just 3.4 rebounds and 2 assists against them. Against the backdrop of the Hawks' current roster and playing style, it's tough to see him breaking through that 7.5 threshold. The Bucks are known for their stiff defense, particularly at home, where they limit opponents to just 2.3 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game. With a hit rate of 16 out of 17 on this prop lately, the numbers are screaming for an under on Alexander-Walker's performance in this one. It's a bet worth making

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 3.5 Rebounds (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When you look at Nickeil Alexander-Walker's recent performances, it becomes clear that targeting the under on his rebounds is a savvy play. Averaging just 2.6 boards over his last five games, and even dipping to 2.0 when playing at home, his production seems to be waning. It's particularly telling that he's only managed to pull in 2.3 rebounds against the Bucks in prior matchups, and with Milwaukee's solid rebounding presence, he could struggle to find opportunities. His overall hit rate is remarkable, sinking under 3.5 rebounds in 16 of his last 17 games, including a perfect 9-for-9 at home. This matchup against the Hawks, who are known for their defensive prowess, further constrains his potential. With an expected stat value of just 2.5, it's hard to envision him surpassing that 3.5 mark, making this under a compelling choice.

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