Jaylen Brown (Boston Celtics) Under 16.5 Rebounds + Assists (-909)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Celtics gear up to face the Wizards, targeting Jaylen Brown for under 16.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like a savvy move. In his last five outings, Brown has averaged just 6.6 rebounds and 5.2 assists, which puts him comfortably below our target. At home, those numbers don't budge much, with him still hovering around 7.4 boards and 5.2 assists. When matched against the Wizards, he's averaged 6.2 rebounds and only 4 assists-numbers that suggest a lower ceiling against this opponent. With a staggering hit rate-19 out of his last 20 games hitting the under-it's clear that Brown often doesn't need to carry the load in a stacked Celtics lineup. With Boston at home and a strong propensity for underperformance in this specific prop, it seems wise to lean into this trend and expect Brown to stay under that 16.5 mark.

Bilal Coulibaly (Washington Wizards) Over 3.5 Rebounds (-161)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Wizards gear up to face the Celtics, all eyes should be on Bilal Coulibaly and his rebounding prowess. With an impressive average of 5.4 boards in his last five games, he's been a force on the glass. Particularly noteworthy is his strong showing against Boston, where he's pulled down an average of 6.2 rebounds, which jumps to 8 when playing in enemy territory. Coulibaly's recent form is equally telling; he's cleared the 3.5 mark in 11 of his last 16 games, and when away from home, he's hit the over in 15 of his last 19 contests. With the Celtics' tendency to create missed shots, this matchup sets the stage for Coulibaly to thrive. Given his expected stat value of 5.3, betting on him to snag more than 3.5 boards seems like a savvy move, especially with a solid implied probability of 61.7%.

Sam Hauser (Boston Celtics) Under 9.5 Points (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Boston Celtics gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Sam Hauser. While there's buzz around his potential, consider betting the under on his points set at 9.5. Hauser has averaged just 5.6 points over his last five games, and at home, that dips even further to 3.2. Defensively, the Wizards have been a sieve, yet Hauser's performance against them historically shows an average of just 12.4 points at home, raising questions on his scoring ceiling. Moreover, he's hit the under in four of his last five games at TD Garden, and with a hit rate of 3-for-3 recently, it's clear he's struggling to find his rhythm. Given his expected stat value sitting around 6.88, there's solid reason to believe he'll fall short of that 9.5 mark once again. Trust the numbers; the under looks like a smart play here.

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