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Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Monday 01/26 (Rudy Gobert Highlights): Data-Driven Insights

January 25th | 04:22 PM GMT Read time icon 5 min read
Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Monday 01/26 (Rudy Gobert Highlights): Data-Driven Insights
Player Props

Winning bets for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors? We break down odds and insights. We analyze the top 6 player props available. Explore NBA player props, best prop bets today, player statistics predictions.

Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 1.5 Blocks (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Rudy Gobert for Under 1.5 blocks in the Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors game is largely driven by his recent performance data. His average blocks per game over the last five matches, whether overall (1), at home (1.2), or against this specific opponent (1.8), are all under the outcome point of 1.5. His performance when playing at home against this opponent is even more supportive of the under bet, with an average of 1.4 blocks. Additionally, Gobert's consistency in recent games is notable. His overall hit rate for the last seven games and home hit rate for the last four games are both perfect, further indicating a strong likelihood of him recording under 1.5 blocks in this game.

Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Rudy Gobert for Under 22.5 points + rebounds in the Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors game is supported by his recent performance data. Even at home, where Gobert typically performs better, his average points and rebounds do not exceed the outcome point of 22.5. His last five home games have seen him average 10.2 points and 8.8 rebounds, totaling 19, which is significantly lower than the 22.5 mark. Moreover, his recent encounters with the Warriors have also seen him stay under the mark, with an average of 11.2 points and 10 rebounds. His expected stat value of 18.38 also aligns with these figures. Thus, his historical performance and the expected stat value both suggest he will likely fall under this proposed total.

Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Moses Moody to make under 2.5 three-pointers in the game between Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors is supported by his recent performance data. His average for the last five games overall is 0.6 three-pointers made, and that number only increases to 1 when considering only away games. Even when focusing on his past performance against this particular opponent, the Timberwolves, the average remains at 0.6 overall and 1 for away games. Furthermore, his expected stat value is only 1.46, well below the 2.5 threshold. This consistent underperformance across different metrics strengthens the case for betting on the under. Finally, Moody's hit rate over the last six overall games and four away games has been perfect, further suggesting that he's unlikely to exceed 2.5 three-pointers in the upcoming match.

Brandin Podziemski (Golden State Warriors) Under 24.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Brandin Podziemski for under 24.5 points, rebounds, and assists in the game against the Minnesota Timberwolves is grounded in his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Podziemski has averaged 11.6 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists overall, and 11.8 points, 5 rebounds, and 3.8 assists in away games. Even when considering his best averages, the sum is still under 24.5. Furthermore, his average points, rebounds, and assists against the Timberwolves, both overall and away, also total less than 24.5. In fact, the expected stat value for Podziemski is only 20.37. His hit rate in the last eight games overall and last six away games supports the tendency for him to stay under this threshold. Therefore, the stats suggest a strong likelihood of Podziemski not exceeding 24.

Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 3.5 Assists (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jaden McDaniels for Under 3.5 assists in the upcoming game between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors is driven by his recent performance data. McDaniels' average assists for the last five overall games is just 2, and this drops to 1.8 when considering only home games. His record against the Warriors is even lower, with an average of 1.2 assists, and it marginally increases to 1.8 when the games are at home. This trend of McDaniels consistently staying under the 3.5 assists mark is further supported by his overall hit rate in the last 19 games (18/19) and his home hit rate in the last 9 games (8/9). Therefore, statistically, McDaniels is more likely to have fewer than 3.5 assists in the upcoming game.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Over 8.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Draymond Green's statistical performance over recent games supports this Over 8.5 points bet. He has consistently been scoring above this benchmark, averaging 10.6 points over his last five games overall and 12 points over his last five away games. This indicates that Green is comfortable with the away environment and his performance isn't hindered by it. Additionally, his average points against the Timberwolves, 10.6, is also above the betting line of 8.5. His performance against this specific opponent in away games is even more promising, averaging 11.8 points. His hit rate also gives us confidence in this bet, hitting the over in five of the last six games overall and all of the last four away games. These statistics make a strong case for betting Over 8.5 on Green's points in the upcoming game.

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