Today's Top AFL Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Friday 09/26 (Jhye Clark Highlights): Stat Projections & Picks

Brad Close's recent form at home, averaging 0.8 goals per game over the last five home matches, indicates his scoring prowess. With a solid average of 3 shots at goal and 1.6 marks inside 50 in these games, Close consistently positions himself for scoring opportunities. Against Brisbane, he has maintained a goal average of 0.4 in home games and 0.6 overall. Given his 28.3% goal accuracy and an average of 8.6 score involvements, Close is actively involved in Geelong's attacking plays. The model's prediction of 0.9 goals for Close with a notable 19.3% edge suggests a high likelihood of him snagging a goal, making him a promising choice for scoring anytime in this matchup.

Jeremy Cameron (Geelong Cats) Over 1.5 Goals (-385)

Jeremy Cameron is in top form, averaging 4 goals in his last 5 home games with a solid 58.3% goal accuracy. Facing Brisbane, against whom he averages 2 goals in his last 5 matches, Cameron's recent performance is bolstered by an impressive 7-game goal streak at home and a 3-game streak overall. With an average of 7 shots at goal and involvement in 8.2 scores per game, Cameron's ability to capitalize on his opportunities is evident. The model's prediction of 3.1 goals, along with an 18.4% edge, supports the expectation that Cameron will continue his scoring streak, making the Over 1.5 goals bet a compelling choice.

Shannon Neale (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-385)

Shannon Neale is a solid bet to score anytime against Brisbane Lions due to his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 home games and a 60.0% goal accuracy, Neale has been consistent in front of the big sticks. Additionally, his high involvement in creating scoring opportunities, averaging 4.4 score involvements and 2.6 shots at goal per game, showcases his active role in Geelong's attacking plays. Facing Brisbane, against whom he averages 0.7 goals in his last 5 matchups, Neale's 18.2% model edge and impressive 76.0% overall goal accuracy make him a strong candidate to snag a goal, supporting the bet on him to score in the 'Anytime Goalscorer' market.

Jack Martin (Geelong Cats) Over 11.5 Disposals (-112)

Jack Martin is poised to shine in this matchup against the Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With an average of 13.8 disposals in his last five home games and a strong history of 16.5 disposals against this opponent, Martin's consistency is evident. His ability to generate metres gained and intercepts further solidifies his potential to exceed 11.5 disposals. Despite a slight dip in contested possessions, his overall disposals average of 12.6 and improved disposal efficiency at 73.7% suggest he can surpass the line. Considering his current hit rates, both overall and in home games, favor the Over, making Martin a strong bet to deliver in this key statistical category.

Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 23.5 Disposals (-122)

Max Holmes is poised to shine with his recent form and matchup. Averaging 28.8 disposals in his last five home games and facing an opponent he historically dominates with 23.8 disposals on average, Holmes is set to surpass the 23.5 line comfortably. His consistency is evident with a solid 67.4% disposal efficiency and a trend of hitting 5 out of his last 6 home games. Playing at the MCG, where he thrives, and with a model predicting him to reach 26.5 disposals, Holmes is a strong bet to continue his impactful performances. With a 17.5% edge, the odds favor him snagging this goal easily.