St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks : Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+160)

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The Arizona Diamondbacks have a strong chance of covering the -1.5 run line against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Diamondbacks have been scoring more runs on average in their last five games, both overall (4.6 vs. 4.2) and away (4.8 vs. 3.6 at home for the Cardinals). This suggests a higher offensive output from the Diamondbacks. Additionally, while the Cardinals have a lower average of runs allowed at home (1.4), their overall runs allowed average is higher (4.4 vs. 5.2), indicating potential defensive weaknesses. The Diamondbacks' higher runs scored average and the Cardinals' inconsistent defensive performance make the Diamondbacks a good bet to cover the -1.5 run line.

Victor Scott II (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Victor Scott II for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. His average stolen bases in the last five games overall and at home are both 0.2, indicating he rarely steals bases. Moreover, his average stolen bases against the Diamondbacks is even lower at 0. This suggests that he's unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game against the same team. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, is also only 1, which implies his recent batting performance is not strong enough to increase his chances of getting on base and potentially stealing a base. Furthermore, his caught stealing (Cs) average is 0, which shows he's not attempting to steal bases regularly.

Corbin Carroll (ARI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for choosing Under 0.5 for Corbin Carroll in the Batter Stolen Bases market is based on his recent performance data. Carroll's average stolen bases in the last five games overall and away games are both 0.6, which is just above the line set at 0.5. However, his average stolen bases drops to 0.4 against the current opposition, the St. Louis Cardinals, and further drops to 0.2 when playing away against them. This suggests that he struggles to steal bases against this particular team, especially when playing away. Additionally, Carroll's current hit streaks, both overall and away, do not necessarily translate to stolen bases. Therefore, considering Carroll's lower performance against the Cardinals and the fact that the game is away, betting Under 0.5 stolen bases is statistically justified.

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