San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans : New Orleans Pelicans Over 103.5 Team Total Points (-556)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'New Orleans Pelicans Over 103.5' is statistically supported by the performance data of the Pelicans. Their scoring record in the last five games, both overall and away, is well over the set Outcome Point of 103.5. The model prediction of 116.47 also aligns with their recent scoring trends. This shows a consistent ability of the New Orleans Pelicans to score high, with an average score of 116.8 overall and 115.8 in away games specifically. Furthermore, the Pelicans' Away Record against the Home Away Record (3-2) indicates favorable outcomes for them in recent away matches. The implied probability of 84.7% provides further confidence in the bet, suggesting a high likelihood of the bet's success. This data collectively justifies the bet on the Pelicans scoring over 103.5 points.
San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans : New Orleans Pelicans 11.5 (-108)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The New Orleans Pelicans have a strong record against the San Antonio Spurs, winning all of their last five matchups. Additionally, the Spurs have shown defensive weakness at home, allowing an average of 130 points in their last 5 games. This is significantly higher than the Pelicans' average of 104.2 points conceded in their away games. The Pelicans also have a decent away record, winning 3 out of their last 5 games. This, coupled with them consistently scoring above their given point spread of 11.5 in recent games, makes the bet on the Pelicans a promising one. Even though the Spurs have a higher overall L5 team score, their weak defense can allow the Pelicans to cover the spread.
San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans : New Orleans Pelicans win (+400)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on the New Orleans Pelicans is primarily driven by their impressive head-to-head record against the San Antonio Spurs. In their last five encounters, the Pelicans have consistently outperformed the Spurs, boasting a 4-0 record. This suggests a tactical advantage or a favourable matchup for the Pelicans. Additionally, the Pelicans have shown strong away form with a 3-2 record in their last five matches, outperforming the Spurs' 2-3 home record in the same period. Despite the fact that the Spurs have scored more points recently, the Pelicans' demonstrated ability to win against this specific opponent makes them a solid bet for this game.
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