Real Sociedad vs Villarreal: Villarreal Draw No Bet (-125)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Villarreal's performance in recent games, specifically their away performance, justifies the bet in their favor. Their average Expected Goals (xG) of 1.54 in the last five away games surpasses Real Sociedad's 0.94 home xG, indicating a higher chance of scoring. Furthermore, Villarreal's average score in away games (1.2) is consistently higher than Real Sociedad's average opponent score at home (1.2). Villarreal also boasts a stronger defensive record, conceding fewer goals on average (0.8) in away games than Real Sociedad does at home (1.2). Lastly, Villarreal's record against Real Sociedad in the last five encounters (2-0-3) further supports their potential to secure a win or at least a draw, making a 'Draw No Bet' on Villarreal a statistically sound choice.
Real Sociedad vs Villarreal: Villarreal Moneyline (+150)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Villarreal's betting choice is grounded on their superior performance in both overall and away games. Despite having similar win-draw-loss records, Villarreal has notably outperformed Real Sociedad in terms of expected goals (xG), both overall (1.5 vs 0.54) and away (1.54 vs 0.94). This suggests Villarreal is creating more quality scoring opportunities. Furthermore, Villarreal's average opponent score is lower, indicating a stronger defense. Their superior shots on target (Sot) sum average (4.6 vs 2.4) and key passes (Kp) sum average (10.6 vs 4.6) also highlight their offensive prowess. Therefore, based on these statistics, betting on Villarreal is a good choice as they have demonstrated better offensive and defensive capabilities than Real Sociedad.
Real Sociedad vs Villarreal: Villarreal Moneyline (+150)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Villarreal is a strong bet for this match based on their superior expected goals (xG) and key pass (Kp) statistics. Their overall xG average is 1.5 compared to Real Sociedad's 0.54, suggesting they create more high-quality scoring opportunities. This is supported by their higher Kp average of 10.6, indicating they create more chances for scoring. Additionally, Villarreal's xG is still higher when playing away (1.54) compared to Real Sociedad's xG at home (0.94). Furthermore, Villarreal's away record against Real Sociedad is positive with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches. Despite Real Sociedad's stronger home record, Villarreal's superior xG and Kp stats, combined with their positive historical performance against the home team, provide a strong rationale for betting on Villarreal.
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