Real Madrid vs Levante: Levante +6.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Levante 6.5' in the Handicap market is a sensible choice considering Levante's recent performance. Despite playing away, Levante's L5 overall score matches that of Real Madrid, indicating a strong offensive performance. Furthermore, the two teams have had similar results in their last five encounters (2-1-2), suggesting that Levante can compete against Real Madrid. Although Real Madrid has a strong home record (4-1-0), Levante's away record isn't significantly weaker (2-1-2). Additionally, the average expected goals (xG) for both teams are close, with Levante's xG slightly higher than Real Madrid's. This implies that Levante has been creating scoring opportunities. With a handicap of 6.5, Levante has a significant margin to stay within, even if they don't win the match. This data-driven analysis suggests that betting on 'Levante 6.5' is a good choice.
Real Madrid vs Levante: Under 7.5 Total Goals (-5000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The 'Under 7.5' bet for the Real Madrid vs Levante game is a promising choice given the performance data. Over their last five games, both teams have shown a consistent scoring average of 2 goals per game. Even when Real Madrid plays at home, their scoring average only increases slightly to 2.4. Additionally, the average goals conceded by both teams are also low, with Real Madrid conceding an average of 1.2 goals and Levante conceding 2.2. This suggests a lower-scoring match. Moreover, the Expected Goals (xG) stats, which predict the number of goals a team is expected to score, are also not exceptionally high (1.72 for Real Madrid and 1.76 for Levante). Therefore, it is statistically unlikely that the total goals will exceed 7.5 in this match.
Real Madrid vs Levante: Draw Moneyline (+750)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The draw bet for the Real Madrid vs Levante match is backed by several statistical indicators. Firstly, the recent head-to-head record between the two teams shows a balanced outcome with 2 wins each and 1 draw in their last 5 encounters. This suggests a close competition. Secondly, Levante's recent away performance shows they've been scoring an average of 2 goals, matching Real Madrid's home scoring average. Furthermore, Levante's Expected Goals (xG) on the road is 1.94, again closely mirroring Real Madrid's home xG of 2.8. Lastly, the average goals conceded by both teams are also comparable, with Real Madrid conceding 1 goal at home on average, and Levante conceding 2.6 goals away. These statistics indicate a high possibility of a balanced game, making a draw a statistically sound bet.
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