This week’s NFL matchups bring thrilling storylines and opportunities for bettors. The Chiefs’ elite offensive efficiency (0.31 EPA) and the Ravens’ dominant rushing attack (160.3 yards/game) set the stage for explosive performances, while the Bengals and Lions continue to shine with efficient QB play (0.19 and 0.28 EPA, respectively). Meanwhile, the Eagles’ balanced offense (248.6 passing and 143.1 rushing yards/game) looks unstoppable, and the Cowboys' stellar ground game (137.2 yards/game) adds to their edge against a struggling Buccaneers defense. The Dolphins’ passing firepower (260.5 yards/game) will clash with the 49ers’ defensive prowess, while the Packers and Saints promise a tight battle with strong rushing games on both sides. Dive into the full analysis to uncover actionable team props, moneyline predictions, and deeper insights for every game this week!
NFL Matchday: Comprehensive Team Prop Analysis
1. Chiefs vs. Texans
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Chiefs |
Texans |
Offensive EPA |
0.31 |
0.12 |
Defensive EPA |
-0.12 |
-0.18 |
QB Efficiency |
0.24 |
0.11 |
Analysis:
The Chiefs dominate offensively with an EPA of 0.31 and superior QB efficiency (0.24). The Texans' defensive struggles (-0.18 EPA) and turnover issues make it tough for them to compete.
Moneyline Prediction: Chiefs Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Chiefs Over 27.5 Points
- Texans Under 17.5 Points
2. Ravens vs. Steelers
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Ravens |
Steelers |
Rushing Yards/Game |
160.3 |
121.4 |
Defensive Recoveries |
250 |
244 |
Turnover Rate |
7.5% |
10.2% |
Analysis:
The Ravens’ rushing dominance (160.3 yards/game) and lower turnover rate (7.5%) make them favorites. The Steelers' reliance on recoveries will struggle against Baltimore’s consistent attack.
Moneyline Prediction: Ravens Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Ravens Over 2.5 Rushing TDs
- Steelers Under 2.5 Total TDs
3. Falcons vs. Giants
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Falcons |
Giants |
Passing Yards/Game |
212.3 |
198.1 |
Defensive EPA |
-0.15 |
-0.10 |
Rushing Yards/Game |
132.5 |
119.4 |
Analysis:
The Falcons’ rushing game (132.5 yards/game) and better defensive EPA (-0.15) provide an edge. The Giants will struggle to stop Atlanta’s balanced offense.
Moneyline Prediction: Falcons Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Falcons Over 150 Rushing Yards
- Giants Under 2.5 Passing TDs
4. Bears vs. Lions
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Bears |
Lions |
Offensive EPA |
0.18 |
0.25 |
Defensive EPA |
-0.22 |
-0.08 |
QB Efficiency |
0.14 |
0.28 |
Analysis:
The Lions excel with an EPA of 0.25 and elite QB efficiency (0.28). The Bears’ defensive issues (-0.22 EPA) will make this a challenging game for Chicago.
Moneyline Prediction: Lions Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Lions Over 28.5 Points
- Bears Under 21.5 Points
5. Panthers vs. Cardinals
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Panthers |
Cardinals |
Defensive Recoveries |
258 |
242 |
Passing Yards/Game |
210.5 |
198.2 |
Turnover Rate |
9.8% |
11.4% |
Analysis:
The Panthers’ defensive edge (258 recoveries) and balanced offense give them a slight advantage. The Cardinals’ turnover struggles (11.4%) will hurt them in close situations.
Moneyline Prediction: Panthers Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Total Points Under 42.5
- Panthers Over 2.5 Passing TDs
6. Jets vs. Rams
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Jets |
Rams |
Passing Yards/Game |
195.6 |
232.8 |
Defensive EPA |
-0.19 |
-0.10 |
QB Efficiency |
-0.08 |
0.22 |
Analysis:
The Rams’ passing strength (232.8 yards/game) and QB efficiency (0.22) set them apart. The Jets’ inefficiency and turnovers make them vulnerable.
Moneyline Prediction: Rams Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Rams Over 250 Passing Yards
- Jets Under 2.5 Total TDs
7. Commanders vs. Eagles
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Commanders |
Eagles |
Passing Yards/Game |
210.2 |
248.6 |
Rushing Yards/Game |
128.3 |
143.1 |
Turnover Rate |
10.5% |
7.3% |
Analysis:
The Eagles’ balance in passing and rushing makes them heavy favorites. The Commanders’ defensive struggles leave them at a disadvantage.
Moneyline Prediction: Eagles Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Eagles Over 3.5 Total TDs
- Commanders Under 2.5 Total TDs
8. Bengals vs. Browns
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Bengals |
Browns |
Rushing Yards/Game |
135.4 |
121.3 |
Defensive EPA |
-0.10 |
-0.12 |
QB Efficiency |
0.19 |
0.08 |
Analysis:
The Bengals’ rushing attack (135.4 yards/game) and QB efficiency (0.19) make them favorites. The Browns’ slightly weaker defensive EPA and higher turnover susceptibility could hinder them.
Moneyline Prediction: Bengals Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Bengals Over 2.5 Total TDs
- Browns Under 21.5 Points
9. Colts vs. Titans
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Colts |
Titans |
Offensive EPA |
0.20 |
0.15 |
Rushing Yards/Game |
140.2 |
129.3 |
Turnover Rate |
8.5% |
9.8% |
Analysis:
The Colts’ ground dominance (140.2 rushing yards/game) and better offensive EPA (0.20) give them an edge. The Titans will struggle to match Indianapolis’ offensive efficiency.
Moneyline Prediction: Colts Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Colts Over 150 Rushing Yards
- Titans Under 2.5 Total TDs
10. Seahawks vs. Vikings
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Seahawks |
Vikings |
Passing Yards/Game |
242.8 |
255.3 |
Defensive EPA |
-0.12 |
-0.14 |
Rushing Yards/Game |
134.5 |
126.2 |
Analysis:
A close matchup with both teams excelling in passing yards/game. The Vikings’ higher efficiency (255.3 yards/game) and slightly better defensive EPA (-0.14) give them a slight edge in a high-scoring game.
Moneyline Prediction: Vikings Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Total Points Over 50.5
- Seahawks Under 2.5 Total TDs
11. Bills vs. Patriots
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Bills |
Patriots |
Offensive EPA |
0.28 |
0.18 |
QB Efficiency |
0.22 |
0.11 |
Turnover Rate |
6.9% |
10.3% |
Analysis:
The Bills dominate with offensive efficiency (0.28 EPA) and a strong QB performance (0.22 EPA). The Patriots' higher turnover rate (10.3%) and lack of offensive firepower make them underdogs in this divisional matchup.
Moneyline Prediction: Bills Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Bills Over 28.5 Points
- Patriots Under 21.5 Points
12. Raiders vs. Jaguars
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Raiders |
Jaguars |
Passing Yards/Game |
218.3 |
238.2 |
Defensive EPA |
-0.18 |
-0.10 |
QB Efficiency |
0.15 |
0.20 |
Analysis:
The Jaguars’ superior passing attack (238.2 yards/game) and QB efficiency (0.20) make them clear favorites. The Raiders’ struggles on defense (-0.18 EPA) will leave them vulnerable to Jacksonville’s balanced offense.
Moneyline Prediction: Jaguars Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Jaguars Over 2.5 Total TDs
- Raiders Under 21.5 Points
13. Dolphins vs. 49ers
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Dolphins |
49ers |
Passing Yards/Game |
260.5 |
242.6 |
Rushing Yards/Game |
112.3 |
136.5 |
Defensive Recoveries |
298 |
310 |
Analysis:
The Dolphins’ dynamic passing attack (260.5 yards/game) makes them a threat, but the 49ers’ stronger ground game (136.5 yards/game) and defensive recoveries (310) could tilt the scales in their favor.
Moneyline Prediction: 49ers Win
Actionable Team Props:
- 49ers Over 2.5 Rushing TDs
- Dolphins Under 3.5 Total TDs
14. Cowboys vs. Buccaneers
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Cowboys |
Buccaneers |
Passing Yards/Game |
245.3 |
218.5 |
Rushing Yards/Game |
137.2 |
110.4 |
Defensive EPA |
-0.09 |
-0.18 |
Analysis:
The Cowboys’ balanced offense, with strong passing (245.3 yards/game) and rushing metrics (137.2 yards/game), gives them an edge. The Buccaneers’ lackluster defense (-0.18 EPA) is a significant weakness.
Moneyline Prediction: Cowboys Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Cowboys Over 27.5 Points
- Buccaneers Under 21.5 Points
15. Packers vs. Saints
Key Stats Table:
Metric |
Packers |
Saints |
Passing Yards/Game |
228.5 |
219.6 |
Rushing Yards/Game |
129.4 |
138.2 |
Turnover Rate |
8.1% |
9.3% |
Analysis:
The Saints’ rushing attack (138.2 yards/game) will be pivotal, but the Packers’ balanced offense and lower turnover rate (8.1%) make them slight favorites in a tightly contested game.
Moneyline Prediction: Packers Win
Actionable Team Props:
- Saints Over 2.5 Rushing TDs
- Packers Over 250 Passing Yards