Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) Under 41.5 Points (-1429)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Stephen Curry for Under 41.5 points in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors is justified by several statistical factors. Firstly, Curry's average points scored in the last five games overall and away games are 18.8 and 19.8 respectively, which are significantly lower than the outcome point of 41.5. Even against this specific opponent, his average points scored in the last five games, both overall and away, are 25.6 and 27 respectively, still well below the outcome point. Furthermore, the expected stat value for Curry is 24.61, hinting that he is not likely to surpass the 41.5 point mark. Lastly, Curry's hit rates in the last 12 overall games and last 7 away games have been consistent, further indicating that his performance is likely to align with these trends.
Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 45.5 Points + Assists (-1429)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The statistics indicate that Anthony Edwards has a lower average in points and assists compared to the proposed betting outcome. His last five overall average points (23) and assists (4.6) total 27.6, significantly under the 45.5 outcome point. Even at home, his combined average points (22.2) and assists (6.2) only reach 28.4. His averages against the Warriors are slightly higher, but still fall short at 31.8 overall and 27.6 at home. Moreover, the expected stat value for this game is 31.35, again substantially lower than the outcome point. These averages, coupled with his consistent performance (11/11 overall hit rate and 5/5 home hit rate), suggest a strong likelihood that Edwards will not reach the outcome point of 45.5 in the upcoming game. Therefore, the under bet is statistically favored.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors : Over 212.5 Total Points (-1429)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The betting rationale for a total points over 212.5 in the game between Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors is substantiated by both teams' recent scoring histories. The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points in their last five games, while the Warriors have averaged an even higher 130.4 points. This combined average of 247.8 points is significantly above the 212.5 over/under line. Even when considering the teams' scoring averages at their respective home/away games — Timberwolves with 111.2, and Warriors with 126.8 — the combined average still exceeds the line set for this game. Additionally, both teams have allowed over 110 points on average from their opponents. This suggests a potential for high-scoring, making the 'Over 212.5' bet a data-driven choice.
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