Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets : Over 199.5 Total Points (-1667)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The Memphis Grizzlies and the Denver Nuggets have both exhibited strong offensive performances recently, with their last five game averages exceeding the over/under point total of 199.5. The Grizzlies have scored an average of 118.8 points per game, with the Nuggets at 110.6 points. On the defensive end, both teams have allowed their opponents to score above the point total, with Grizzlies' opponents averaging 120.8 points, and the Nuggets' opponents at 113.2 points. The trend continues at home and away games, where the Grizzlies and Nuggets have maintained high scoring averages. Therefore, given both teams' recent high scoring games and the model prediction of 241.95, it is statistically rational to bet on 'Over 199.5' for the total points market.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets : Memphis Grizzlies Over 103.5 Team Total Points (-500)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Memphis Grizzlies Over 103.5' in the Team Total Points market is backed by several strong statistical factors. Firstly, the model prediction for this game is 122.45, which is significantly above the outcome point of 103.5. This suggests a high likelihood that the Grizzlies will score over the point threshold. Additionally, the Grizzlies' recent offensive performance solidifies this conclusion. Their average score in the last five games is 118.8, well above the set point level. When playing at home, this average jumps to 124.6, again comfortably exceeding 103.5. Their home record also favors this bet, with 4 wins in their last 5 games. Therefore, the Grizzlies' scoring trends and the model's high prediction justify a strong bet on them scoring over 103.5 points.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets : Denver Nuggets 4.5 (-110)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The Denver Nuggets are a strong bet on the point spread market for several reasons. Primarily, their record against the Memphis Grizzlies in recent matchups leans in their favor, with a 2-1 record compared to the Grizzlies' 1-2. Moreover, the Grizzlies' home record in the last five games displays a vulnerability, with a 2-3 record compared to the Nuggets' 2-3 record on the road. The Nuggets also show a lower average opponent team score in recent games, indicating a stronger defense. The Grizzlies have been outscored by opponents in their last five home games, an area where the Nuggets can capitalize. Despite the Grizzlies' higher home team score, their defense hasn't been able to keep up, giving the Nuggets an opportunity to cover the spread.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get Bet Better Pro