Matchday 21 of the Premier League brings a host of exciting fixtures packed with potential drama and high stakes. Using advanced metrics, we’ll analyze each game to provide key insights and actionable props.
Chelsea vs. Bournemouth
Key Stats Table
| Metric |
Chelsea |
Bournemouth |
| Possession (%) |
60.1 |
39.9 |
| xG (Expected) |
14.2 |
8.7 |
| Goals Scored |
15 |
9 |
| Clean Sheets |
6 |
3 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages
Chelsea’s dominance in possession and superior xG make them favorites to control the game. Bournemouth’s defensive lapses, combined with Chelsea’s attacking depth, could prove decisive.
Suggested Team Props
Chelsea Moneyline: Their metrics point to a convincing win.
Total Goals Over 2.5: Expect Chelsea to lead a high-scoring encounter.
Brentford vs. Manchester City
Key Stats Table
| Metric |
Brentford |
Man City |
| Possession (%) |
45.2 |
65.8 |
| xG (Expected) |
10.1 |
16.3 |
| Goals Scored |
11 |
18 |
| Clean Sheets |
3 |
7 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages
Manchester City’s overwhelming xG and possession numbers highlight their attacking superiority. Brentford’s defensive structure will be tested against City’s dynamic offense.
Suggested Team Props
Man City Moneyline: Their dominance in key metrics makes them the clear choice.
Man City Total Goals Over 2.5: Expect an attacking display from the league leaders.
Newcastle vs. Wolves
Key Stats Table
| Metric |
Newcastle |
Wolves |
| Possession (%) |
51.3 |
48.7 |
| xG (Expected) |
12.5 |
9.3 |
| Goals Scored |
13 |
8 |
| Clean Sheets |
5 |
3 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages
Newcastle’s higher xG and organized defense make them favorites in this fixture. Wolves’ struggle to convert chances could play into Newcastle’s hands.
Suggested Team Props
Newcastle Moneyline: Their offensive and defensive metrics give them the edge.
Under 2.5 Goals: A tight, low-scoring game is likely.
Leicester City vs. Crystal Palace
Key Stats Table
| Metric |
Leicester City |
Crystal Palace |
| Possession (%) |
53.8 |
46.2 |
| xG (Expected) |
11.3 |
9.8 |
| Goals Scored |
10 |
9 |
| Clean Sheets |
4 |
3 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages
Leicester’s possession and xG advantage point to their ability to control the game. Crystal Palace’s defensive record suggests they could frustrate Leicester at times.
Suggested Team Props
Leicester City Moneyline: Their metrics suggest they will edge out a win.
Both Teams to Score (No): Palace’s defense might hold firm.
Arsenal vs. Tottenham
Key Stats Table
| Metric |
Arsenal |
Tottenham |
| Possession (%) |
61.2 |
50.8 |
| xG (Expected) |
15.8 |
13.7 |
| Goals Scored |
17 |
14 |
| Clean Sheets |
7 |
5 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages
The North London derby promises fireworks, with Arsenal’s superior possession and xG making them slight favorites. Tottenham’s ability to counterattack could make this an end-to-end affair.
Suggested Team Props
Arsenal Moneyline: Their attacking metrics give them a slight edge.
Total Goals Over 2.5: Both teams have the firepower to score multiple goals.