Get ready for a thrilling breakdown of today’s Bundesliga matches as we dive into key metrics, uncover offensive and defensive mismatches, and identify actionable team props to help you stay ahead of the game. Here's a deep dive into the stats that matter most for Matchday 16.
Dortmund vs. Leverkusen
Key Stats Table
| Metric |
Dortmund |
Leverkusen |
| Possession (%) |
50.5 |
56.8 |
| xG (Expected) |
9.2 |
12.3 |
| Goals Scored |
7 |
13 |
| Shots on Target |
25 |
31 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages
Leverkusen’s higher xG (12.3 vs. 9.2) reflects their more potent attacking lineup, paired with a superior shot-on-target rate. Dortmund’s defense, however, has shown resilience, allowing fewer big chances compared to league averages.
Suggested Team Props
Total Goals Over 3.5: Both teams’ offensive metrics suggest a high-scoring game.
Leverkusen Moneyline: With their superior xG and possession stats, Leverkusen holds the edge.
SC Freiburg vs. Holstein Kiel
Key Stats Table
| Metric |
Freiburg |
Holstein Kiel |
| Possession (%) |
49.2 |
51.4 |
| xG (Expected) |
10.4 |
8.1 |
| Goals Scored |
11 |
9 |
| Clean Sheets |
2 |
1 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages
Freiburg’s midfield dominates transitions, while Holstein Kiel’s defense struggles with aerial duels, conceding 4 goals from set pieces. Freiburg’s expected goals tally (10.4) highlights their efficiency in converting chances.
Suggested Team Props
Freiburg Total Goals Over 2.5: Their xG and attacking depth give them an upper hand.
First Half Goals Over 1.5: Both teams tend to push early for control.
Mainz vs. VfL Bochum
Key Stats Table
| Metric |
Mainz |
Bochum |
| Possession (%) |
48.1 |
46.3 |
| xG (Expected) |
8.7 |
6.5 |
| Clean Sheets |
3 |
1 |
| Goals Conceded |
10 |
14 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages
Mainz’s organized backline has managed three clean sheets this season, compared to Bochum’s one. Bochum’s struggles in defending set pieces and Mainz’s superior xG highlight a clear mismatch.
Suggested Team Props
Mainz Moneyline: Their strong defensive record makes them the likely victors.
Under 2.5 Goals: This game is shaping up to be a defensively focused encounter.
Mönchengladbach vs. Bayern Munich
Key Stats Table
| Metric |
Mönchengladbach |
Bayern Munich |
| Possession (%) |
47.6 |
69.7 |
| xG (Expected) |
7.8 |
13.7 |
| Goals Scored |
8 |
14 |
| Big Chances |
6 |
17 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages
Bayern Munich’s overwhelming possession and xG highlight their dominance in attack. Mönchengladbach’s defensive frailties, combined with Bayern’s big-chance creation, make this a one-sided affair on paper.
Suggested Team Props
Bayern Munich Moneyline: Their superior stats make this a strong play.
Bayern Munich Total Goals Over 2.5: Expect an offensive display from the league leaders.
FC St. Pauli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt
Key Stats Table
| Metric |
FC St. Pauli |
Eintracht Frankfurt |
| Possession (%) |
46.2 |
54.1 |
| xG (Expected) |
6.8 |
9.9 |
| Clean Sheets |
2 |
4 |
| Goals Scored |
5 |
11 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages
Eintracht Frankfurt’s xG and clean sheets highlight their ability to control games, both defensively and offensively. FC St. Pauli’s low goal tally underlines their lack of firepower up front.
Suggested Team Props
Eintracht Frankfurt Moneyline: Their balanced metrics favor a victory.
Under 2.5 Goals: Frankfurt’s defensive consistency suggests a low-scoring affair.
Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart
Key Stats Table
| Metric |
Augsburg |
Stuttgart |
| Possession (%) |
50.5 |
53.8 |
| xG (Expected) |
8.4 |
11.2 |
| Goals Scored |
9 |
12 |
| Clean Sheets |
2 |
3 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages
Stuttgart’s attacking stats, including a superior xG and goals scored, make them the more threatening side. Augsburg’s home advantage might balance the scales slightly.
Suggested Team Props
Stuttgart Moneyline: Their offensive edge gives them the advantage.
Both Teams to Score (Yes): Both sides’ defensive vulnerabilities could result in goals.