Hugo Ekitike (Eintracht Frankfurt) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (-141)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Hugo Ekitike has a higher goal and shot average in away games, which is relevant as Burnley will be playing away against Liverpool. His average away goals stand at 0.6 compared to 0.2 overall, a threefold increase. Similarly, his shots on target average also increases to 1.6 in away games from an overall average of 0.6. This demonstrates his enhanced performance in away matches. Although his current hit streak is zero, the increased averages in away games indicate a higher probability of scoring. The model prediction of 0.62 also supports this, suggesting a favorable outcome. Therefore, betting on Ekitike as an anytime goalscorer is a statistically sound choice.
Liverpool vs Burnley: Both Teams To Score: Yes (+112)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Yes' for Both Teams to Score in the Liverpool vs Burnley game is statistically justified. Liverpool's strong home scoring average of 2.4 goals per game, combined with their high expected goals (xG) of 2.16, indicates a high likelihood of them scoring. Burnley, despite their weaker overall performance, have managed to maintain a respectable away scoring average of 1.6 goals per game, with an xG of 1.42. This suggests their ability to find the net even in challenging away games. Furthermore, Liverpool's average opponent score at home is 0.6, indicating that they do concede goals occasionally. Given Burnley's scoring ability and Liverpool's occasional defensive lapses, there's a reasonable chance for both teams to score in this match.
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