Matchday 20 of the Bundesliga is packed with intriguing matchups that highlight some of the league’s top teams and rising stars. With possession dominance, goal-scoring potential, and creative playmakers all on display, here’s everything you need to know about today’s games.
Game 1: Werder Bremen vs. Mainz
Key Stats Table:
| Metric |
Werder Bremen |
Mainz |
| Possession (%) |
48.5 |
50.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
7.5 |
9.2 |
| Non-Penalty xG (npxG) |
6.8 |
8.4 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages:
Werder Bremen: Their xG of 7.5 suggests they’ve had opportunities but lack finishing consistency. Defensively, they need to tighten up against Mainz’s slightly superior attacking stats.
Mainz: With an xG of 9.2 and higher npxG at 8.4, Mainz is expected to create quality scoring chances. They dominate slightly in possession, which could tilt the match in their favor.
Actionable Team Props:
Total Goals: Over 2.5 goals. Both teams have vulnerabilities in defense and the ability to create chances.
Mainz Moneyline: Mainz’s offensive edge gives them a higher probability of success.
Game 2: Bayern Munich vs. Holstein Kiel
Key Stats Table:
| Metric |
Bayern Munich |
Holstein Kiel |
| Possession (%) |
69.7 |
40.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
13.7 |
6.5 |
| Non-Penalty xG (npxG) |
12.1 |
5.9 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages:
Bayern Munich: Their possession dominance at 69.7% and league-leading xG of 13.7 showcases their offensive prowess. Defensively, they’re structured to stifle Holstein Kiel’s limited attacking output.
Holstein Kiel: They’ll rely on quick transitions to exploit Bayern’s high line. However, their xG of 6.5 suggests limited scoring potential.
Actionable Team Props:
Total Goals: Over 3.5 goals. Bayern’s attacking firepower should lead to a high-scoring affair.
Bayern Munich Moneyline: Bayern’s dominance in every metric points to a convincing win.
Game 3: VfB Stuttgart vs. Mönchengladbach
Key Stats Table:
| Metric |
VfB Stuttgart |
Mönchengladbach |
| Possession (%) |
45.2 |
54.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
8.3 |
9.8 |
| Non-Penalty xG (npxG) |
7.6 |
8.9 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages:
VfB Stuttgart: They’ll look to counterattack and rely on their slightly below-average xG. Defensively, they must prevent Mönchengladbach from controlling the tempo.
Mönchengladbach: With better possession and xG stats, they’ll aim to control the midfield and create scoring chances.
Actionable Team Props:
Total Goals: Over 2.5 goals. Both teams are expected to score based on their xG.
Draw or Mönchengladbach Moneyline: Their possession advantage may lead to a positive result.
Game 4: Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig
Key Stats Table:
| Metric |
Union Berlin |
RB Leipzig |
| Possession (%) |
38.4 |
61.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
7.1 |
10.2 |
| Non-Penalty xG (npxG) |
6.3 |
9.5 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages:
Union Berlin: Union’s xG of 7.1 shows they’re reliant on set-pieces and defensive organization. Their limited possession could be a challenge against Leipzig.
RB Leipzig: Dominating possession and xG, Leipzig’s dynamic attack makes them clear favorites.
Actionable Team Props:
Total Goals: Over 2.5 goals. Leipzig’s attacking style is likely to create a high-scoring game.
RB Leipzig Moneyline: Leipzig’s superior metrics make them the team to back.
Game 5: Leverkusen vs. Hoffenheim
Key Stats Table:
| Metric |
Leverkusen |
Hoffenheim |
| Possession (%) |
58.5 |
43.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
11.3 |
7.8 |
| Non-Penalty xG (npxG) |
10.1 |
7.1 |
Offensive & Defensive Advantages:
Leverkusen: Their xG of 11.3 and possession control highlights their attacking dominance. Defensively, they must avoid lapses against Hoffenheim’s counterattacks.
Hoffenheim: With an xG of 7.8, they’ll aim to maximize limited opportunities. Their defensive structure will be critical against Leverkusen’s attack.
Actionable Team Props:
Total Goals: Over 2.5 goals. Leverkusen’s attacking strength should lead to goals.
Leverkusen Moneyline: Leverkusen’s advantage in possession and xG makes them favorites.