Bologna vs Fiorentina: Bologna Draw No Bet (-169)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Bologna for the Draw No Bet market is a strong choice based on their impressive recent performance. Bologna has a perfect home record in the last five matches, with an average of 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded. This is significantly better than Fiorentina's away record, which includes four losses in the last five matches, scoring an average of only one goal and conceding 1.6. Bologna also has a superior record against Fiorentina, winning four of their last five encounters. Bologna's expected goals (xG) average is higher both overall and at home, indicating they create more scoring opportunities. These stats suggest Bologna is more likely to win or at least draw, making a bet on Bologna in the Draw No Bet market a statistically sound choice.
Bologna vs Fiorentina: Fiorentina Moneyline (+215)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Fiorentina is based on their consistent performance, demonstrated by their overall win-draw-loss (WDL) record of 3-0-2 in the last five games. Despite Bologna's strong home record, Fiorentina has shown resilience in their away games, with a WDL record of 1-0-4. Bologna's average goal (xG) rate of 1.72 is slightly higher than Fiorentina's 1.14, however, Fiorentina's defence has been stronger, with a lower opponent xG rate of 1.36 compared to Bologna's 0.76. Furthermore, Fiorentina's average shots on target (Sot Sum) is close to Bologna's, indicating they have a similar chance of scoring. Fiorentina's lower foul rate (Fls Sum) also suggests they play a cleaner game, which could give them an edge. Overall, these statistics suggest Fiorentina has a competitive chance against Bologna, making a bet on them a reasonable choice.
Bologna vs Fiorentina: Fiorentina Moneyline (+215)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Despite Bologna's strong recent home record, the bet on Fiorentina is justified by a deeper look at the stats. Fiorentina's average expected goals (xG) is 1.14, which is slightly lower than Bologna's 1.72, but they have been able to convert their chances into actual goals, with an average score of 1.2 in their last 5 games. Bologna's average opponent score is 0.6, which Fiorentina has consistently surpassed. Furthermore, Fiorentina's performance against Bologna has been notable, with a 1-0-4 record. This shows that Fiorentina has been able to overcome Bologna's home advantage in the past. Therefore, the bet on Fiorentina is based on their ability to convert chances into goals and their proven track record against Bologna.
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