Today's NFL Best Bets (Tuesday 11/18 Slate)

The 'Under 50.5' bet is statistically favorable based on the recent performance of both teams. The home team's recent record shows a low average score (12.4 points) and a negative point differential (-11.8 points) in their last five games. Their ability to generate points is weak, as indicated by poor total yards (227.2) and negative EPA (expected points added) values for both passing and rushing plays. Meanwhile, the away team's performance is mixed. They've been scoring higher (29.8 points on average) but also allow a significant number of points against (29 points). They have a positive point differential, but this is minimal at just 0.8 points. Given these stats, the chances of the combined score exceeding 50.5 points are relatively low. Hence, an 'Under 50.5' bet is statistically backed by the recent performances of these teams.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys : Over 50.5 Total Points (-108)

The statistical data indicates a favorable scenario for betting on "Over 50.5" in the 'totals' market. The away team has been scoring an average of 29.8 points in their last 5 games, while giving up 29 points per game. This suggests that their games have been high scoring. The home team, on the other hand, has been struggling defensively, giving up 24.2 points per game. Moreover, both teams have a positive explosive rate for, which indicates their potential for big plays leading to high scoring. The model edge is positive, albeit small, which indicates that the statistical model used also favors an "Over" outcome. Although both teams have poor records in the last 5 games (1-4 for the home team and 2-3 for the away team), their scoring and defensive statistics suggest a higher probability for a combined score above 50.5.