Today's NBA Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds for ALL Games on Sunday 12/07

The Golden State Warriors are a strong bet on the Moneyline market based on their recent performance data. They have a superior away record of 4-1, compared to the Cleveland Cavaliers' home record of 3-2. Furthermore, in the last 5 games, the Warriors have consistently outscored the Cavaliers, averaging 130.4 points compared to the Cavaliers' 112.2. This point difference is even more pronounced in away games for the Warriors (126.8 points) and home games for the Cavaliers (110.2 points). Additionally, in recent head-to-head matchups, the Warriors have won both games against the Cavaliers, suggesting a clear advantage. These statistics indicate a high probability of another victory for the Golden State Warriors.

Brooklyn Nets vs New Orleans Pelicans : Brooklyn Nets -3.5 (-112)

Betting on 'Brooklyn Nets -3.5' is a favorable choice due to several key statistical factors. Firstly, the Nets have demonstrated a solid home record, matching the Pelicans' away record (3-2). This implies their performance is consistent regardless of the venue. Moreover, the Nets' model prediction of 4.93 surpasses the outcome point of -3.5, suggesting they'll cover the spread. Also, the Nets' home team score of 108.6 slightly edges out their average opponent team score of 108.4 at home, indicating a capacity to outscore opponents on their ground. Lastly, while the Pelicans have a higher overall team score, their opponent score away from home is 104.2, less than the Nets' home score, suggesting they may struggle defensively. These factors collectively indicate that the Nets are likely to cover the spread.

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks : Detroit Pistons -12.5 (-108)

Despite the Detroit Pistons' recent underperformance (1-4 in their last 5 games), the betting on Detroit Pistons with a -12.5 point spread is driven by the comparative team and opponent scores. The Pistons, when playing at home, have an average score of 106 points, higher than their overall average of 103.6. On the other hand, the Bucks' defensive strength appears to weaken on the road, allowing opponents an average score of 126.2, quite higher than their overall average allowance of 116.4. Also, the Bucks' scoring average decreases to 125.2 away from home, down from their overall average of 116.2. These statistics suggest that the Pistons can outscore the Bucks by more than 12.5 points when playing at home, making this bet a statistically sound choice.

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks : Detroit Pistons Under 129.5 Team Total Points (-526)

Statistical trends strongly favor the 'Detroit Pistons Under 129.5' bet. The Pistons' scoring in recent games does not suggest they will reach 130 points. Over their last five games, they averaged just 103.6 points overall and 106 points at home, significantly below the 129.5 threshold. Plus, their form is poor, with just one win in their last five games and no home wins in the same period. Their opponents, the Milwaukee Bucks, also average allowing 117.4 points overall and 119.6 points when playing away, meaning they generally limit teams to fewer points than the Pistons need to surpass the bet threshold. The model's prediction of 112.53 points for the Pistons further supports this bet, offering a considerable buffer under the 129.5 total. This data implies a high probability (84.0%) that the Pistons will score under 129.5 points.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors : Golden State Warriors Over 99.5 Team Total Points (-588)

The Golden State Warriors have consistently demonstrated high-scoring performances, particularly in their recent games. In their last five overall games, the Warriors have averaged 130.4 points, well above the 99.5 point line set for this bet. Moreover, their scoring average in away games is 126.8, still significantly higher than the bet line. Additionally, their strong record of 4-1 in their last five games, both overall and away, indicates their offensive prowess. The model prediction further supports this, projecting the Warriors to score 120.96 points in the game against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Therefore, betting on the Golden State Warriors to score over 99.5 points is a viable choice given their recent high-scoring trend and the model's high-scoring prediction.