Today's NBA Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds for ALL Games on Saturday 11/01

The bet on the Indiana Pacers to win in the Moneyline market is driven by their formidable home performance. Although the Pacers have a slightly weaker home record (2-3) than the Hawks' away record (3-2), their scoring statistics at home are compelling. The Pacers' overall team score at home over the last 5 games is higher (121) than the Hawks' away score (117.2). This indicates that the Pacers have been outscoring the Hawks in comparable settings, and this trend is likely to continue. Their head-to-head record also leans in favor of the Hawks (2-1), however, the Pacers' recent scoring prowess at home could potentially tip the scales in their favor. Hence, betting on the Indiana Pacers to win is a calculated choice.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers : Memphis Grizzlies win (-130)

The betting rationale for the Memphis Grizzlies in the Moneyline market is supported by their superior home performance. The Grizzlies' recent home record is strong, with 4 wins out of their last 5 games, and their scoring average at home (124.6) is notably higher than their overall average (118.8). Although the Lakers have shown a solid away record, the Grizzlies' home advantage could tip the scales in their favor. Furthermore, the Grizzlies have a model edge of 22.7% and their implied probability to win is 56.5%, signifying a favorable prediction. Despite a 1-2 record against the Lakers in their last 5 encounters, the Grizzlies' home performance and model predictions make them a compelling choice for the bet.

Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks : Chicago Bulls Over 104.5 Team Total Points (-526)

The betting rationale for 'Chicago Bulls Over 104.5' is statistically sound. The model predicts the Bulls to score 125.33 points, significantly higher than the outcome point of 104.5. Moreover, the Bulls have a solid scoring record, with an average score of 108.6 in their last five games overall and 107.4 in their last five home games. This suggests a consistent ability to score above the outcome point. Additionally, the implied probability of 84% further boosts the confidence in this bet. Despite their recent home record (2-3), the Bulls' scoring ability has not been significantly impacted. Therefore, given the Bulls' scoring track record and the model prediction, betting on 'Chicago Bulls Over 104.5' seems a good choice.

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks : Indiana Pacers 2.5 (-110)

The bet on Indiana Pacers +2.5 for the point spread market stems from statistical trends and model predictions. Despite their weaker recent performance (2-3) compared to the Hawks (3-2), the Pacers' model prediction of 6.89 indicates a potential for a larger margin of victory than the point spread suggests. This is further supported by an 11.3% model edge. The Pacers also show a higher scoring average at home (122.2) than the Hawks do on the road (117.2). Even though the Pacers have struggled defensively at home, their scoring prowess could offset this and allow them to cover the spread. This bet banks on the Pacers' home scoring average and model predictions, anticipating they will outperform recent trends.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics : Philadelphia 76ers Under 128.5 Team Total Points (-714)

Betting on 'Philadelphia 76ers Under 128.5' is a solid choice given the team's recent scoring trends. The 76ers' average total points in their last five games is 115.6, significantly below the 128.5 threshold. This average drops to 108.4 when considering only home games, suggesting a lower scoring pattern at home. Furthermore, the model prediction of 114.03 points for the 76ers aligns with these trends. Additionally, the 76ers' opponents (Boston Celtics) have only allowed an average of 111.4 points in the 76ers' recent home games. These statistics together indicate a low probability of the 76ers scoring over 128.5 points in the upcoming game.