# Bet Better: Actuarial Sports Betting Intelligence > Bet Better is a model-driven sports betting analytics platform. We run actuarial models and 20,000+ simulations per matchup to identify mispriced markets and positive expected value (+EV) bets across the NBA, NFL, NHL, MLB, AFL and the major soccer leagues. Every selection we publish is tracked and settled publicly — wins and losses. ## Live Performance & Proof (start here) - [Verified Betting Record](https://betbetter.world/results.aspx): every settled pick (wins AND losses), with hit rate, units profit/loss and ROI by sport over the last 7, 30 and 90 days. No cherry-picking - [Machine-readable record (JSON feed)](https://betbetter.world/results.aspx?format=json) - [About / how performance is measured](https://betbetter.world/About.aspx) ## Today's Picks & Predictions (by sport, updated as games settle) - [NBA best bets](https://betbetter.world/nba/best-bets.aspx) - [NFL best bets](https://betbetter.world/nfl/best-bets.aspx) - [NHL best bets](https://betbetter.world/nhl/best-bets.aspx) - [MLB best bets](https://betbetter.world/mlb/best-bets.aspx) - [AFL best bets](https://betbetter.world/afl/best-bets.aspx) - [EPL (Premier League) best bets](https://betbetter.world/soccer/epl/best-bets.aspx) - [La Liga best bets](https://betbetter.world/soccer/la-liga/best-bets.aspx) - [Serie A best bets](https://betbetter.world/soccer/serie-a/best-bets.aspx) - [Bundesliga best bets](https://betbetter.world/soccer/bundesliga/best-bets.aspx) - [Ligue 1 best bets](https://betbetter.world/soccer/ligue-1/best-bets.aspx) ## Player Props & Same-Game Picks (by sport, updated daily as lines and lineups move) - [Machine-readable feed](https://betbetter.world/nba/prop-bets.aspx?format=json): append `?format=json` to any prop-bets, picks or best-bets URL for a JSON list of every selection with the model win probability, fair odds, market price, edge and a dated verdict — e.g. - [NBA player props](https://betbetter.world/nba/prop-bets.aspx) and [picks](https://betbetter.world/nba/picks.aspx) - [NFL player props](https://betbetter.world/nfl/prop-bets.aspx) and [picks](https://betbetter.world/nfl/picks.aspx) - [NHL player props](https://betbetter.world/nhl/prop-bets.aspx) and [picks](https://betbetter.world/nhl/picks.aspx) - [MLB player props](https://betbetter.world/mlb/prop-bets.aspx) and [picks](https://betbetter.world/mlb/picks.aspx) - [AFL player props](https://betbetter.world/afl/prop-bets.aspx) and [picks](https://betbetter.world/afl/picks.aspx) - [ATP tennis props](https://betbetter.world/tennis/atp/prop-bets.aspx) and [picks](https://betbetter.world/tennis/atp/picks.aspx) - [WTA tennis props](https://betbetter.world/tennis/wta/prop-bets.aspx) and [picks](https://betbetter.world/tennis/wta/picks.aspx) - [EPL (Premier League) props](https://betbetter.world/soccer/epl/prop-bets.aspx) and [picks](https://betbetter.world/soccer/epl/picks.aspx) ## Free Betting Tools & Calculators - [Best Bets Today](https://betbetter.world/today): (the daily hub — our sharpest model picks, the top positive-EV value across ~50 books, the biggest line moves and today's full slate, in one place, updated through the day) - [Today's Sharp Picks](https://betbetter.world/picks-today.aspx): (the day's positive-edge betting picks across all sports — our calibrated model blended with the de-vig market consensus using out-of-sample tuned weights, filtered to genuine value only and sized with fractional Kelly; shows model win probability, fair odds, edge and suggested stake per pick; free to read, no signup; the JSON export requires a Pro subscription) - [Value Finder](https://betbetter.world/value.aspx): (live positive expected value (+EV) bets and risk-free arbitrage across NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, AFL, tennis and the World Cup — the best price across 50 bookmakers vs the de-vig market consensus; free, no signup) - [Line Shopping](https://betbetter.world/lineshop.aspx): (the best available price and bookmaker for every outcome of every upcoming game across ~50 books, shown next to the fair de-vig line; free, no signup) - [Line Movement & Steam Tracker](https://betbetter.world/linemove.aspx): (the opening sharp-consensus line vs the current line on every upcoming game, ranked by the biggest moves, showing which way the money is going — money in = shortened, drifting = lengthened; free, no signup) - [Public Model Scorecard](https://betbetter.world/scorecard.aspx): (settled model performance broken down by sport and market — hit rate, flat-1-unit ROI and closing-line value per market, no cherry-picking; machine-readable JSON at ?format=json) - [Proven Systems](https://betbetter.world/proven-systems): (backtested, rules-based +EV betting systems by sport and category — each shown with its real backtested ROI, hit rate and graded-bet sample size; a system needs at least 100 graded bets and a believable ROI to appear, and nothing is ever presented as guaranteed; machine-readable JSON at ?format=json) - [Is My Player Playing Tonight?](https://betbetter.world/is-playing): (live player availability across MLB/NBA/NFL/NHL — who is out, on the IL, questionable or day-to-day, plus confirmed MLB probable starting pitchers; search any player before betting; free, no signup) - [Live Scores](https://betbetter.world/scores): (real-time scoreboard across MLB, NFL, NBA, NHL, AFL and soccer — live, final and upcoming games today, auto-refreshing, each linked to odds, model edge and injuries; per-sport at /scores/{sport}; JSON at ?format=json) - [Prop Hit Rates & Streaks](https://betbetter.world/hit-rates/mlb): (actual realized recent hit rates for today's player props — last-5 and last-10 hit rates, home/away splits and current streaks per player line; factual research, not predictions; per sport at /hit-rates/{sport}) - [Free Bet / Bonus Bet Calculator](https://betbetter.world/free-bet-calculator): (converts a bonus bet, stake-not-returned, or a qualifying bet into guaranteed cash — computes the exchange lay stake, liability, guaranteed profit and retention %; free, no signup) - [Bet Tracker & CLV Dashboard](https://betbetter.world/bet-tracker): (free, private, no-signup bet tracker — log bets in your browser and see profit/loss, ROI, hit rate, pending exposure and closing-line value / how often you beat the close; data stays on your device) - [How Bet Better Works](https://betbetter.world/how-it-works): (honest methodology — sharp-anchored fair value from the betting exchanges, calibrated probabilities, market-blend, fractional Kelly staking, availability gating, and public closing-line-value proof; every claim linked to a live tool; no guaranteed-winners claims) - [Sports Betting Answers](https://betbetter.world/answers): (direct, citable answers to the key betting questions — finding +EV value, getting the best odds, Kelly staking, checking injuries, reading line movement, whether a model beats the market, what closing-line value is — each backed by a free tool) - [Tools hub](https://betbetter.world/tools/): (odds converter, no-vig / fair-odds, expected value (EV), parlay, Kelly criterion, hedge, bankroll, arbitrage — all free, no signup) ## Methodology & Ground Truth - [Actuarial Sports Betting](https://betbetter.world/methodology/actuarial-sports-betting.aspx) - [AI Sports Betting](https://betbetter.world/methodology/ai-sports-betting.aspx) - [Predictive Modeling](https://betbetter.world/methodology/predictive-modeling-sports-betting.aspx) - [Probability Calibration](https://betbetter.world/methodology/probability-calibration-in-betting.aspx) - [Backtesting Strategies](https://betbetter.world/methodology/backtesting-sports-betting-strategies.aspx) - [Evaluating Model Performance](https://betbetter.world/methodology/evaluating-betting-model-performance.aspx) - [Monte Carlo Simulations](https://betbetter.world/methodology/monte-carlo-simulations.aspx) - [Betting Value](https://betbetter.world/methodology/betting-value.aspx) - [Machine Learning](https://betbetter.world/methodology/machine-learning.aspx) - [Data Preprocessing](https://betbetter.world/methodology/data-preprocessing-sports-analytics.aspx) - [Data Collection](https://betbetter.world/methodology/sports-betting-data-collection.aspx) - [Quantitative vs Qualitative Analysis](https://betbetter.world/methodology/quantitative-vs-qualitative-betting-analysis.aspx) ## Betting Academy: Structured Knowledge Base ### 1. Getting Started & Fundamentals - [Beginner’s Guide](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/beginner-guide-to-sports-betting.aspx) - [Step-by-Step Betting Guide](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/how-to-place-a-sports-bet.aspx) - [Common Mistakes to Avoid](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/common-mistakes-in-sports-betting.aspx) - [Sports Betting Glossary](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/sports-betting-glossary.aspx) ### 2. Understanding Odds & Bet Types - [Sports Betting Odds Explained](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/sports-betting-odds.aspx) - [Implied Probability Guide](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/understanding-betting-odds.aspx) - [Reading Betting Lines](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/how-to-read-betting-lines.aspx) - [Moneyline, Spreads, & Totals](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/sports-betting-types.aspx) - [Moneyline Betting Guide](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/moneyline-betting-guide.aspx) - [Point Spread Explained](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/point-spread-betting-explained.aspx) - [Over/Under (Totals) Guide](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/over-under-totals-betting-guide.aspx) - [Parlay Betting Tips](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/tips-for-parlay-betting.aspx) - [What is Vig/Juice?](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/what-is-vig-in-sports-betting.aspx) ### 3. Advanced Strategy & Psychology - [Maximizing Wins Strategies](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/effective-strategies-in-sports-betting.aspx) - [Hedge Betting Explained](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/hedge-betting.aspx) - [Value Betting Identification](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/value-betting.aspx) - [Positive Edge Concepts](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/positive-edge-sports-betting.aspx) - [Sharp vs Square Bettors](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/sharp-vs-square-bettors.aspx) - [Understanding Variance](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/understanding-betting-variance.aspx) - [Psychology of Betting](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/psychology-of-sports-betting.aspx) ### 4. Mathematical Money Management - [Bankroll Management Success](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/learn-sports-betting-bankroll-management.aspx) - [Kelly Criterion Approach](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/kelly-criterion.aspx) ### 5. Data Analytics & Tools - [Improving Betting with Analytics](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/sports-betting-data-analytics.aspx) - [Analyzing Player Performance](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/analyzing-player-performance.aspx) - [Finding Trends with Historical Data](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/historical-data-trends-sports-betting.aspx) - [Market Movements & Odds](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/market-movements-in-sports-betting.aspx) - [Best Betting Tools](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/best-sports-betting-tools.aspx) - [Using Betting Calculators](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/using-sports-betting-calculators.aspx) ### 6. Sport-Specific Strategy Guides - [NFL Betting Strategies](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/nfl-strategies-for-sports-betting.aspx) - [NBA Betting Tips](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/tips-for-nba-betting.aspx) - [AFL Expert Winning Methods](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/afl-tips.aspx) - [Soccer Major League Guide](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/soccer-betting-strategies.aspx) ### 7. Industry Innovation & AI - [AI in Sports Betting](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/how-ai-is-revolutionizing-sports-betting.aspx) - [New Technology Adaptation](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/sports-betting-industry-technology.aspx) - [Future Trends & Innovations](https://betbetter.world/betting-academy/the-future-of-sports-betting.aspx)